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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +565
    (70%)
    7-3 in Last 10 NHL ML Picks
    MON
    -155
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 12 @ 8:27pm

    Analysis

    It's Frozen Frenzy Tuesday in the NHL! Might have to play at least a little something on all 16 games off site. Second of a back-to-back for Buffalo, which already has ruled out top blueliner and captain Rasmus Dahlin after he left Monday's win over Florida injured. The Sabres have played just one road game thus far and lost that by three goals. Both of their goalies played Monday, and that's not ideal in the front end of a B2B. These teams played a great seven-game conference semifinal back in May, won by Montreal.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    Under 6.5
    -137
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 13 @ 12:59pm

    Analysis

    The winless Flyers are easily the worst offensive team in the NHL with eight total goals scored so they are pretty much an auto-fade Under 6.5 ... and 7.5 in some cases. Seattle is among the NHL scoring leaders but I'm not buying that as the Kraken didn't go get Connor McDavid or anything in the offseason. Maybe dragging a bit too in a third road game in five nights. The SL Model has this has the lowest-scoring game of the night. It's our only 6.5.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    Under 6.5
    -133
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 13 @ 12:14pm

    Analysis

    Both No. 1 goalies are starting in Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy and New York's Dylan Garand. We all know how good the future Hall of Famer Vasy is in any given season (2.29 GAA so far in 2026-27). The rookie Garand has been lights out since taking over for out-for-season Igor Shesterkin. Garand is third in the league with a 1.20 GAA. When these clubs met also at MSG on Oct. 1, there were six total goals scored with Vasy and Igor in the nets.
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    #1
    +576
    (100%)
    5-0 in Last 5 NHL Picks
    STL
    +110
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 12 @ 1:20pm

    Analysis

    Ottawa will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days leaning into a back-up goalie against a rested Blues side; little to say I don't get to this number as Ottawa continues to deal with injuries most notably to Jake Sanderson on the blue line. He was ruled out for Monday and I believe unlikely to return at home here as well. My number assuming a Hofer - Ersson start is closer to Blues -101 adjusting for the situation and key absences so we'll click a bet on the road underdog.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +357.5
    (68%)
    19-9 in Last 28 NCAAF Picks
    JAXST
    -142
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 11 @ 5:12pm

    Analysis

    We get another early start to college football with this Conference USA matchup on Tuesday. Jacksonville State is unbeaten at home and impressively won at defending league champion Kennesaw State last Wednesday. Jax State's 12-1 weekday CUSA record is the best in the league over the last three years. FIU has lost both road games by double digits. The model has the hosts by 3.

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