The Big East title game tips off Saturday between Villanova and Providence at 6:30 p.m. ET. The fifth-seeded Friars upset Xavier in overtime in one semifinal, 75-72, while the Wildcats routed Butler, 87-68, in the other. Villanova opened as a 12.5-point favorite and now is laying 13.5.

The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, opened at 149.5, but has dropped to 147.

Before picking either side of this intriguing matchup, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Saturday on a red-hot 7-1 streak on its recent top-rated college basketball picks.

Now, the computer has examined every matchup, every player and every trend for Villanova vs. Providence. We can tell you it's leaning toward the Under. It's also locked in a very strong against-the-spread pick that hits in 70 percent of simulations.

The Friars' best chance to cover the spread -- and win outright -- will mean shutting down the Wildcats' perimeter game. Collectively, Villanova shoots 40 percent from three-point range and leading scorers Jalen Brunson and Mikal Bridges are both knocking down more than 41 percent of their attempts from beyond the arc.

The Wildcats can cover the spread by doubling Providence big man Rodney Bullock, who leads the team in scoring at 14.2 points a game. Bullock came up huge in the second half against Xavier, netting 17 in the upset win. He'll need another monster game if the Friars have any prayer of winning.

So what side of Villanova vs. Providence do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to check out the strong against-the-spread pick from the computer model that is backing one side of this matchup 70 percent of the time!