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Only four races remain before the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs get underway, and Watkins Glen International is up on the schedule this Sunday. The Glen is one of the most iconic road courses in NASCAR and drivers on the playoff bubble like Austin Dillon and Tyler Reddick will have a particular sense of urgency as they scrap for every point possible in the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen. Chase Elliott, however, is the current king of road courses, and it's no surprise to see him listed as the favorite for this 3 p.m. ET start.

The latest 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen odds from Caesars Sportsbook have Elliott at 8-5. Other top NASCAR at Watkins Glen contenders for Sunday include Kyle Larson (9-2), Martin Truex Jr. (11-2) and Kyle Busch (15-2). Before scouring the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen starting lineup and making any NASCAR at Watkins Glen predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its NASCAR picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 and hit Larson again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then at Road America it struck again, nailing Chase Elliott to win for another 5-2 return. Anyone who has followed its lead on those plays has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2021 NASCAR at Watkins Glen leaderboard.

Top 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kurt Busch at 25-1 in the latest NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds 2021. He's a long-shot target for anyone looking for a huge payday. After a slower start to the season, Busch is clearly trending in the right direction as he arrives at Watkins Glen International. The veteran has finished in the top 10 in seven of his last nine races.

That span includes a win at Atlanta Motor Speedway a few weeks back, and perhaps more importantly for handicapping Sunday's race, a fourth-place finish at Road America in early July. Since October of 2020, Busch has finished sixth or better at road courses four times. And with three straight top-10 finishes at Watkins Glen, Busch has a great chance to be in contention on Sunday, making him a great value pick for 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen bets. 

And a massive shocker: Joey Logano, one of the Vegas favorites at 12-1, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen starting lineup. Logano will enter Sunday's race sitting fifth in the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series standings and is guaranteed a postseason berth by way of his win at the historic Bristol Dirt Race back in March.

However, he's coming off a disappointing 15th-place finish in his last road race at Elkhart Lake, and even though he did win at Watkins Glen International in 2015, his most recent starts at The Glen haven't gone so well. Logano has finished outside the top 20 in each of his last three runs at Watkins Glen and that's a big reason why the model is fading him this weekend.

How to make 2021 NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2021 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. It also sees value in a massive triple-digit long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Go Bowling at The Glen 2021? And which massive triple-digit long shot is a shocking value this week? Check out the latest 2021 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen leaderboard, all from the model that has called three of the last seven NASCAR Cup Series winners. 

2021 Go Bowling at The Glen odds

Chase Elliott 8-5
Kyle Larson 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 11-2
Kyle Busch 15-2
Denny Hamlin 10-1
Joey Logano 12-1
Christopher Bell 20-1
Kevin Harvick 20-1
William Byron 20-1
Brad Keselowski 22-1
Ryan Blaney 22-1
Kurt Busch 25-1
Alex Bowman 28-1
Ross Chastain 50-1
Matt DiBenedetto 75-1
Tyler Reddick 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Chase Briscoe 100-1
Michael McDowell 100-1
Erik Jones 125-1
Daniel Suarez 125-1
Aric Almirola 125-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Austin Dillon 250-1
Ryan Preece 500-1
Ryan Newman 500-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 750-1
Bubba Wallace 750-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Justin Haley 2500-1
Anthony Alfredo 2500-1
R.C. Enerson 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
Kyle Tilley 5000-1
Garrett Smithley 5000-1
James Davison 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1