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Nashville Superspeedway hasn't hosted a NASCAR event for a decade and has been largely dormant since, but all that changes this weekend with a tripleheader of racing that includes the Xfinity Series Tennessee Lottery 250. The 225-lap race goes green Saturday at 3:30 p.m ET on the 1.333-mile Nashville tri-oval. The track is the longest concrete raceway in NASCAR, and promises exciting side-by-side racing from green to checkered.

At -130, Kyle Busch leads the way in the 2021 Tennessee Lottery 250 odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Xfinity Series points leader Austin Cindric is at 5-1 along with Justin Allgaier among the top NASCAR Xfinity Series at Tennessee contenders. Before making any 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville predictions, be sure to see the latest 2021 Tennessee Lottery 250 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. 

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model began the 2021 Xfinity Series schedule by nailing Austin Cindric's win at Daytona at 10-1. It also called Cindric to win again at 5-2 in the Call 811 Before You Dig 200 and then it nailed nine of the top 10 in the 2021 Cook Out 250 at Martinsville. Then last week at Texas, it called Kyle Busch to win at -120. Anybody who followed that pick saw huge returns. 

Now, his model simulated the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Tennessee race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard for the 2021 Tennessee Lottery 250.

Top 2021 Tennessee Lottery 250 predictions 

One surprise: The model is high on Brandon Jones, a massive 40-1 long shot in the NASCAR Xfinity Series at Tennessee odds. Jones is a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The driver of the Joe Gibbs Racing No. 19 Toyota Supra has notched eight top-10 finishes this season and ranks eighth in the points standings.

A four-time Xfinity Series winner, Jones ran second at Homestead in the season's third race, was third at Las Vegas, fourth at both the Daytona road course and Mid-Ohio and fifth last week at Texas. On the strength of three victories, Jones was competitive throughout 2020 and finished sixth in the standings A hot young driver with great equipment behind him, Jones is a great target for 2021 Tennessee Lottery 250 bets.

And a massive shocker: Harrison Burton, one of the Vegas favorites at 14-1, stumbles big time and doesn't even crack the top five. Burton had plenty of success last season but he hasn't finished better than third thus far in 2021. 

Burton's car stalled out two weeks at Miami-Homestead and he was unable to finish that race, officially settling for 38th. Burton also turned in a disappointing performance at Las Vegas, finishing 30th. Burton will need to make up a lot of ground on Saturday to pick up his first victory of the year. The model doesn't like him at 14-1 odds, making him a driver to fade on Saturday. 

How to make 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR Xfinity Series at Nashville odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all the NASCAR Xfinity Series picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2021 Tennessee Lottery 250? And which long shots stun the NASCAR Xfinity Series? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Cindric's season-opening win. 

2021 Tennessee Lottery 250 odds (via William Hill)

Kyle Busch -130
Justin Allgaier +500
Austin Cindric +500
A.J. Allmendinger +1200
Noah Gragson +1200
Daniel Hemric +1400
Harrison Burton +1400
Tyler Reddick +1500
Josh Berry +2000
Brandon Jones +2200
Justin Haley +4000
Jeb Burton +7500
Michael Annett +10000
Brett Moffitt +10000
Riley Herbst +10000
Myatt Snider +20000
Field +20000
Ryan Sieg +25000
Austin Hill +50000
Jeremy Clements +75000
Brandon Brown +100000
Josh Williams +200000
JJ Yeley +200000
Alex Labbe +2000000