Warriors vs. Mavericks odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 4 predictions from model on 73-44 roll
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated Mavericks vs. Warriors 10,000 times

Stephen Curry leads the NBA with 96 made 3-pointers and ranks fifth in overall scoring with an average of 28.2 points per game. Luka Doncic isn't far behind, as he is sixth in the league at 27.2 points. The scoring machines go head-to-head on Thursday as Curry and the Golden State Warriors (11-10) visit Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (9-13) for the first of two meetings in three days. Golden State will be without James Wiseman (wrist) and Kevon Looney (ankle), while Eric Paschall (knee) is questionable.
Tip-off from American Airlines Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Dallas as a three-point favorite, while the over-under is 228.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds. Before making any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 73-44 roll on top-rated picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Mavericks vs. Warriors:
- Mavericks vs. Warriors spread: Dallas -3
- Mavericks vs. Warriors over-under: 228.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Warriors money line: Dallas -160, Golden State +140
- DAL: The Mavericks are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games following a straight-up win
- GSW: The Warriors are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings
Why the Mavericks can cover
Doncic led six players in double figures with 27 points as Dallas halted its six-game losing streak with a 122-116 victory at Atlanta on Wednesday. The 21-year-old point guard also recorded 14 of the Mavericks' 27 assists, giving the team two players with double-doubles. The other was Kristaps Porzingis, who registered 24 points and 11 rebounds.
Tim Hardaway Jr. had a big performance off the bench, registering 22 points while going 5-for-10 from beyond the arc. It marked the fifth time this season the 28-year-old small forward reached the 20-point mark and first since he produced 21 on Jan. 22 at San Antonio. Jalen Brunson also came off the bench to hit double digits in points, scoring 12 while going 5-for-8 from the field.
Why the Warriors can cover
Curry produced another strong effort in Tuesday's loss to Boston, scoring 38 points while grabbing 11 rebounds and dishing out eight assists. The 32-year-old point guard went 7-for-14 from 3-point range, marking the sixth time in seven games he's made at least five shots from beyond the arc. Curry is second in the NBA with an average of 4.6 3-pointers per game and fifth in overall scoring at 28.2 points.
Curry joined elite company on Tuesday, becoming just the second player to score 17,000 points with the Warriors. He increased his career total to 17,011, putting him 772 behind Wilt Chamberlain on the franchise's all-time list. Andrew Wiggins ranks second on the team with an average of 17.7 points and has hit double digits in each of his 21 contests this season.
How to make Warriors vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with with teams projected to combine for 220 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.















