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Injuries have derailed Liverpool's hopes of defending its title, but a road victory Saturday against fellow English Premier League powerhouse Arsenal would keep it in the running for a coveted top-four spot. The Reds face Real Madrid on Thursday in the Champions League quarterfinals, and they are seventh league in the standings but only five points behind No. 4 Chelsea. They haven't played since a 1-0 win against Wolverhampton on March 15. Arsenal is in ninth place and played to a 3-3 draw against West Ham on March 21 before the international break.

Kickoff from Emirates Stadium in London is set for 3 p.m. ET. Liverpool is the 0.5-goal and +130 money-line favorite (risk $100 to win $130) in the latest Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Liverpool vs. Arsenal picks, check out the English Premier League predictions from SportsLine's Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated over $18,200 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has set his sights on Liverpool vs. Arsenal and revealed his best bets. You can only see them over at SportsLine.

  • Arsenal vs. Liverpool spread: Liverpool -0.5
  • Arsenal vs. Liverpool over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Arsenal vs. Liverpool money line: Arsenal +205, Liverpool +130, Draw +245
  • ARS: The Gunners are third-worst in the EPL in percentage of shots on target (30.8)
  • LIV: The Reds rank second in the league in time of possession (63 percent)

Why you should back Liverpool

The Reds (13-7-9, 46 points) will be trying to regain their rhythm after almost three weeks off, and their status as UCL quarterfinalists has to give them confidence. They also face an Arsenal team that has not kept a clean sheet in 12 games and conceded three goals to Wolves, one of the league's lowest-scoring teams. Liverpool still has the firepower up front, with Egyptian Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane of Senegal, as well as Brazilian Roberto Firmino. Salah shares the league lead with 17 goals, while Mane has seven to go with his four assists.

Firmino took a hit to his knee before the break but is back in training and should play. He has six goals and a team-high five assists. Diogo Jota (six goals) could start in Firmino's place if he isn't match fit and needs to come in off the bench. The defense has been hit hard by injuries, but new acquisition Ozan Kabak is teaming up with Nathaniel Phillips to form a solid backfield duo, and goalkeeper Alisson has great instincts and athleticism. Neither team scored in a League Cup matchup in October, but Liverpool defeated the Gunners 3-1 in their EPL meeting in September.

Why you should back Arsenal

The Gunners (12-6-11, 42 points) have found their scoring in recent matches, netting nine goals in their last four Premier League games. The attack looks strong, with Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka creating chances for strikers Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. Lacazette has a team-leading 11 goals, while Aubameyang has nine, and they should be able to take advantage of a decimated Reds defense. Liverpool has allowed 36 goals this season, second-most among the league's top 10, and the Reds have posted only eight clean sheets.

Saka has five goals and two assists, while expected starter Nicolas Pepe also has scored five times. Arsenal is unbeaten in its last four league matches, including wins against Leicester and Tottenham, and it beat Liverpool 2-1 in their last meeting at the Emirates last July. Willian appears to be healthy after a minor calf injury before the break. The Brazilian seems to have returned to form after a shaky start to the season and has a team-high five assists.

How to make EPL picks for Arsenal vs. Liverpool

Green is leaning over on the goal total, and he has studied this matchup from every possible angle and locked in a pair of best bets, including one with a plus-money payout. Go to SportsLine now to see his picks. 

So where does all the betting value lie for Arsenal vs. Liverpool? Visit SportsLine now to see the top picks, all from the European soccer expert who has generated over $18,200 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and find out.