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The North London derby will have added significance on Thursday as Tottenham hosts Arsenal in a critical English Premier League showdown. Arsenal (21-3-11) is in fourth place in the EPL table and is trying to hang on to post its first top-four finish since 2017. It has a four-point lead on fifth-place Tottenham (19-5-11), which essentially needs a victory to have any chance to qualify for next season's Champions League. Arsenal has won four straight to seize control of the fourth spot after a three-game losing streak nearly ruined its season. The Gunners scraped out a 2-1 win against Leeds on Sunday. Spurs are 5-2-1 in their past eight games. They battled to a 1-1 draw with second-place Liverpool on Saturday, snapping the Reds' 12-game win streak at Anfield. Arsenal has won the last two meetings between the teams, including a 3-1 victory in September, though both of those matches were at Emirates Stadium.

Kickoff at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Spurs are the +121 favorite (risk $100 to win $121) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Tottenham vs. Arsenal odds. Arsenal is the +225 underdog, a draw is priced at +245 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before locking in any Arsenal vs. Tottenham picks, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Arsenal vs. Tottenham from every angle. You can head to SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Tottenham vs. Arsenal:

  • Tottenham vs. Arsenal spread: Spurs -0.5 (+110)
  • Tottenham vs. Arsenal over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Tottenham vs. Arsenal money line: Tottenham +121, Arsenal +225, Draw +245 
  • TOT: Harry Kane has 11 goals in 16 career games against the Gunners 
  • ARS: Eddie Nketiah has scored at least once in five of his 11 starts this year

Why you should back Tottenham

Spurs put in a strong effort at Anfield on Saturday, and manager Antonio Conte set the team up for success. It held Liverpool to three shots on net and created chances on the counter-attack. Harry Kane and Son Heung-min are two of the most dangerous scorers in the league, and Son put Tottenham up 1-0 before the Reds equalized on a deflection. Son is second in the EPL with 20 goals, and he scored in the September meeting. Kane has 21 goals in all competitions, and the duo could torment a defense that has yielded at least one goal in seven straight games.

Kane is second in the league in shots on target (43), while Son is tied for third (39). Tottenham has far fewer shots than Arsenal, but it puts more than 37 percent on net, the best mark in the league. Kane and Son have combined for 17 assists, while Dejan Kulusevski has eight playing alongside them up front. Tottenham is unbeaten in its last seven at home against the Gunners, and seven of Arsenal's 11 losses have come on the road. Arsenal puts less than 32 percent of its shots on net, and Hugo Lloris (13 clean sheets) will be ready for any that are on the mark. 

Why you should back Arsenal

The Gunners come in on an impressive roll and will want to seal up that No. 4 spot. Arsenal also knows a draw could be enough, so the Gunners could just focus on stopping Tottenham's big two. They have beaten Chelsea and Manchester United during their win streak, and they were ruthlessly efficient in that 3-1 win in September. Arsenal put seven of its 12 shots on target, and Emile Smith Rowe and Bukayo Saka both scored. 

Meanwhile, Eddie Nketiah has flourished in his five league games since becoming a starter. He has scored two goals twice in his past four matches, in victories against Chelsea and Leeds. Martin Odegaard also plays a key role in midfield, and he has scored six goals and set up four. Arsenal is third in the Premier League in shots with 536, almost 100 more than Spurs. Saka ranks fifth in the EPL with 86 shots and is second on the team with six assists.

How to make Tottenham vs. Arsenal picks

Green has scrutinized the Arsenal vs. Tottenham match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total. He also provides his three confident best bets, two of them offering plus-money payouts, and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.

So, who wins Tottenham vs. Arsenal on Thursday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Arsenal vs. Tottenham, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.