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Final Score: BAL 29, NE 23
Model Plays: Ravens -3 (62%), OVER 49 (52%)
Best Props: Derrick Henry ATD -115 (projection: 62%), Keaton Mitchell o21.5 RUSHYD (projection: 54), DeAndre Hopkins o9.5 RECYD (projection: 24)
Path: Division title only
The Ravens need to finish at least tied with Pittsburgh.
Must beat Steelers head to head for the tiebreak.
What it means:
If Baltimore wins one game and beats Pittsburgh (or wins the tiebreak), they're very alive. If not, they're likely out.
Path: Division or Wild Card
As long as Buffalo wins one game, they make the playoffs almost every time.
What it means:
The Bills are essentially locked in. A total collapse is the only way they miss.
Path: Division title only
Carolina must outpace Tampa Bay.
The head-to-head matchups versus the Bucs are critical.
What it means:
There's no safety net. The Panthers need to win at least two of last three.
Path: Division or Wild Card
Winning one game puts Chicago in great shape.
Games against Green Bay and Detroit matter a lot for tiebreaks.
What it means:
The Bears control most of their destiny. Beat a division rival and things clear up quickly.
Path: Division title only
Dallas must win out, and Philadelphia lose out.
Also needs help from Commanders and Giants.
What it means:
Still alive, but barely. Almost everything has to go right.
Path: Clinched
What it means:
Broncos are locked. Anything else is just about seeding.
Path: Division or Wild Card
Detroit needs at least one win to stay alive.
Beating Minnesota is a major boost.
What it means:
The Lions are alive, but they need help. A division win goes a long way.
Path: Division or Wild Card
One win puts Green Bay in excellent shape.
Wins over Minnesota or Chicago clean up tiebreaks.
What it means:
The Packers are very close. Handle business once and they're in.
Path: Division or Wild Card
Houston makes it almost every time they win one game.
What it means:
The Texans are in great shape and don't need chaos.
Path: Division or Wild Card
Indianapolis likely needs to win two of three.
Beating Houston and Jacksonville is especially important.
What it means:
The Colts need a strong finish and can't afford many mistakes.
Path: Division or Wild Card
One win gets Jacksonville in nearly every scenario.
What it means:
The Jaguars are basically in. Avoid disaster and they're good.
Path: Division or Wild Card
Winning one game is usually enough.
A win over Denver helps with tiebreaks.
What it means:
The Chargers are in strong position and control their fate.
Path: Clinched
What it means:
Rams are locked in. Everything from here is about playoff positioning.
Path: Division or Wild Card
One win all but guarantees a playoff spot.
What it means:
The Patriots are essentially in.
Path: Division title only
Philadelphia just needs to avoid a total collapse.
What it means:
The Eagles are all but locked into the postseason.
Path: Division title only
Pittsburgh needs to win two games.
Beating Baltimore is the biggest swing.
What it means:
Win the division, you're in. Lose it, you're out.
Path: Division or Wild Card
One win clinches in nearly every scenario.
What it means:
Seattle is basically locked.
Path: Division or Wild Card
One win seals it almost every time.
Beating Seattle simplifies things.
What it means:
The 49ers are in great shape.
Path: Division title only
Tampa Bay must stay ahead of Carolina.
Head-to-head vs. CAR is huge.
What it means:
Win the division and you're in. Simple as that.
Final Score: SF 29, IND 25
Model Plays: Colts +5.5 (52%), OVER 46.5 (62%)
Best Props: Philip Rivers o157.5 PASSYD (projection: 213), George Kittle ATD +135 (projection: 49%), Michael Pittman o29.5 RECYD (projection: 48)
