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Jon Rahm has some unfinished business at Muirfield Village Golf Club and will look to get off to a fast start when the 2022 Memorial Tournament tees off on Thursday. The world's second-ranked player opened with a 69 last year then went 65-64 to take a six-stroke lead through 54 holes. He tested positive for COVID-19 on Saturday and was forced to withdraw. That opened the door for Patrick Cantlay, who went on to beat Collin Morikawa in a playoff. That victory sparked Cantlay's run to the FedEx Cup title last year. Rahm won the Memorial in 2020 and seeks to join Cantlay, who also won in 2019, as a two-time winner. But it won't be easy, with Cantlay, Morikawa and fellow top-10 players Cameron Smith, Viktor Hovland, Rory McIlroy, Sam Burns and Jordan Spieth also in the Memorial Tournament 2022 field.

Caesars Sportsbook has Rahm listed as the 10-1 favorite in its latest 2022 Memorial Tournament odds, followed closely by McIlroy (11-1) and Cantlay (14-1). Spieth (18-1), Morikawa (20-1), Smith (20-1) and Xander Schauffle (20-1) all are expected to be right in the mix, along with Hovland (22-1) and Shane Lowry (22-1). Before making any 2022 Memorial Tournament picks or PGA Tour predictions, you really need to see what proven golf insider Sal Johnson has to say.

The esteemed golf insider has been around the game for many years and knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour.

Before the PGA Championship, Johnson predicted that if Thomas made his putts he could definitely win. Thomas had his best week of the season on the greens, gaining more than 1.5 strokes putting to rank second in the field. The result? He beat Will Zalatoris in a playoff to win his second major, and his second PGA Championship.    

In his previous set of predictions for SportsLine, Johnson nailed the Masters for the third time in four years. He backed Scheffler, saying he was "on a run where he has been hard to beat, and I see it rolling on at Augusta National." The 25-year-old got his fourth victory of the season. 

Now Johnson, the first producer of "Inside the PGA Tour" and longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus and Arnold Palmer, has released his highly confident 2022 Memorial Tournament (see tickets at StubHub) picks and predictions. The picks from the founder of GOLFstats.com, the world's top golf statistics database, will definitely surprise you. You can only see them at SportsLine.

Top 2022 Memorial Tournament expert picks

One shocking choice: Johnson is fading Cameron Smith, who is among the favorites but has struggled mightily at Muirfield. The Australian has missed the cut four times in six tries, and he has broken par just once in 16 rounds there. His putter hasn't been carrying him like it was earlier in the season, and while he has two wins and tied for third at the Masters, he isn't likely to contend this week. "He is a terrible pick for this week," Johnson says.

On the flip side, Johnson knows Rahm will be motivated, not only to finish what he started last year but to get right for the U.S. Open. The Spaniard surged to the world's top ranking with his 2020 Memorial victory, and he won his first major last year in June at Torrey Pines. His all-around game is the perfect fit for Muirfield, which he has shown the past two years. Johnson just needs to see if the 27-year-old's putter can hold up. Rahm is first in both strokes gained off the tee and greens in regulation percentage and 13th in scoring average but 109th in strokes gained putting.  

The expert also knows McIlroy has a lot more victories in him if he can just put it all together for four days. The Northern Irishman leads the tour in scoring average (69.15) and has excellent numbers across the board. He just can't keep himself from getting tripped up at least once per tournament. The four-time major champion is in the top 15 in scoring average in the first and fourth rounds but 174th in the second (71.5) and 67th in the third (70.14). He is second in strokes gained: total and 34th in putting, so he should be able to succeed at Muirfield.  

How to make 2022 Memorial Tournament golf picks

Johnson is very high on a massive long shot at Muirfield who comes in at around 50-1. This veteran still has the talent to strike at any time, and he is starting to post better results. His skill set fits the course well, and he could pull off a stunning result. You can cash in huge if he does, and you can only see who it is and get the rest of Johnson's picks at SportsLine.

Who wins the 2022 Memorial Tournament? Where do Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm finish? And which massive long shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson's full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2022 Memorial Tournament, all from the insider who is tuned in to what it takes to win on the PGA Tour, and find out.

2022 Memorial Tournament odds, field, top contenders

Jon Rahm 9-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Patrick Cantlay 14-1
Jordan Spieth 18-1
Cameron Smith 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Viktor Hovland 22-1
Shane Lowry 22-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1
Will Zalatoris 28-1
Joaquin Niemann 35-1
Max Homa 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Davis Riley 40-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Mito Pereira 45-1
Keegan Bradley 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Patrick Reed 50-1
Seamus Power 55-1
Billy Horschel 60-1
Jason Day 60-1
Bryson DeChambeau 60-1
Adam Scott 60-1
Chris Kirk 60-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
Matt Kuchar 65-1
Aaron Wise 65-1
Gary Woodland 65-1
Alex Noren 65-1
Tom Hoge 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Ryan Palmer 80-1
Rickie Fowler 80-1
Brian Harman 80-1
C.T. Pan 100-1
Lanto Griffin 100-1
Harris English 100-1
Keith Mitchell 100-1
Cameron Tringale 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 100-1
Cam Davis 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Sepp Straka 100-1
Anirban Lahiri 125-1
Troy Merritt 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Kevin Streelman 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
Matt Jones 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Lucas Herbert 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Doug Ghim 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Brendan Steele 150-1
Charles Howell 150-1
Aaron Rai 150-1
Joel Dahmen 150-1
Erik Van Rooyen 150-1
Adam Long 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Patton Kizzire 150-1
Matthew NeSmith 150-1
Matthew Wolff 150-1
J.T. Poston 175-1
Lucas Glover 175-1
Emiliano Grillo 200-1
Patrick Rodgers 200-1
Ryan Moore 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Alex Smalley 200-1
Danny Willett 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Sahith Theegala 200-1
Martin Laird 250-1
David Lipsky 250-1
Nate Lashley 250-1
Brandt Snedeker 250-1
Peter Malnati 250-1
Chad Ramey 250-1
Charley Hoffman 300-1
Danny Lee 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Adam Svensson 300-1
Luke Donald 300-1
Carlos Ortiz 300-1
Hudson Swafford 300-1
Taylor Moore 300-1
Wyndham Clark 300-1
Garrick Higgo 300-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 300-1
Min Woo Lee 300-1
Brandon Wu 300-1
Adam Schenk 350-1
Justin Lower 400-1
Camilo Villegas 500-1
Curtis Luck 500-1
Bo Hoag 500-1
Robert Streb 500-1
David Lingmerth 500-1
Jediah Morgan 500-1
Chan Kim 500-1
John Pak 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
William McGirt 500-1
Brandon Hagy 500-1
Jason Dufner 500-1
Nick Watney 500-1
Laird Shepherd 1000-1
James Piot 1000-1