Phoenix Raceway holds a special place in the heart of Kevin Harvick, the active leader in NASCAR Cup Series victories with 58 who has has recorded a career-high nine of them on this track. He posted his first two wins at Phoenix in 2006 and ended a 44-race drought there six years later. Harvick, who has won this race five times, will look to add to that total when he gets behind the wheel for the 2021 Instacart 500 on Sunday. The 45-year-old Californian is riding a streak of 15 straight top-10 finishes at Phoenix, including six checkered flags.

Harvick is listed as the 9-2 favorite in the latest 2021 Instacart 500 odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Defending NASCAR Cup Series champion Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, and Brad Keselowski are 11-2, while Martin Truex Jr. completes the list of top five 2021 Instacart 500 contenders at 13-2. The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET. You'll want to check out the NASCAR at Phoenix predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2021 Instacart 500 picks.

Roberts is arguably the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick won the first two races of the 2020 season. In the season-opening Daytona 500, he nailed Hamlin's win at 10-1 odds, and he hit Joey Logano at 13-2 odds in the Pennzoil 400 a week later. He also nailed the victory by Hamlin, who wasn't one of the top three favorites, in the Toyota 500 last May.

Roberts also crushed the 2019 NASCAR season. Those who wagered $100 on his predicted winner in each of the 40 NASCAR races (an investment of $4,000) finished with a strong profit of $2,100. In addition, those who put down $50 on each of Roberts' top four choices in each of those races (an investment of $8,000) were up a head-turning $3,400. Anyone who has followed his picks is up huge year after year.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Phoenix 2021 race. He's sharing his winner and leaderboard right here.

2021 Instacart 500 expert picks

One shocker: Roberts is low on Truex, even though he's one of the top 2021 Instacart 500 contenders at 13-2. In fact, Roberts says Truex, who never has won at Phoenix, doesn't even crack the top 10.

"He should have a win on this track already but doesn't in 30 Cup Series starts," Roberts told SportsLine.

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Christopher Bell, even though he's a mammoth long shot at 40-1 in the latest 2021 NASCAR at Phoenix odds. After failing to record a victory over 36 starts as a NASCAR Cup Series rookie last year, the 26-year-old captured his first checkered flag in the second race of the 2021 season at the Daytona Road Course. Bell has finished in the top 20 of all four starts this season and is coming off a seventh-place at Las Vegas last weekend.

"In his first race using the 750-horsepower package, Bell won at the Daytona Road Course," Roberts told SportsLine. "He might present the best value on the board."

How to make 2021 Instacart 500 predictions

Roberts is high on a massive long shot who has "never had a car as good as he will this week." This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, and anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins the Instacart 500 2021? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2021 NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2021 Instacart 500 odds

Kevin Harvick 9-2
Chase Elliott 11-2
Denny Hamlin 11-2
Brad Keselowski 11-2
Martin Truex Jr. 13-2
Kyle Busch 7-1
Joey Logano 15-2
Kyle Larson 8-1
Ryan Blaney 17-1
William Byron 25-1
Alex Bowman 30-1
Christopher Bell 40-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Aric Almirola 60-1
Matt DiBenedetto 60-1
Tyler Reddick 60-1
Austin Dillon 75-1
Cole Custer 100-1
Bubba Wallace 100-1
Ryan Newman 125-1
Chris Buescher 200-1
Chase Briscoe 250-1
Ross Chastain 250-1
Erik Jones 250-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 250-1
Michael McDowell 300-1
Ryan Preece 1000-1
Daniel Suarez 1000-1
Corey LaJoie 2000-1
Anthony Alfredo 2500-1
Justin Haley 2500-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
James Davison 5000-1
Timmy Hill 5000-1
Quin Houff 5000-1
B.J. McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
J.J. Yeley 5000-1