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USATSI

The Milwaukee Bucks take on the Chicago Bulls in a Central Division battle on Tuesday at United Center. Milwaukee is 48-30 overall and projected as a top-four seed in the East. Chicago is also headed to the postseason, boasting a 45-33 overall record and a 27-11 mark at home. Zach LaVine (knee) has been rule out for the Bulls after originally being listed as probable, with Matt Thomas (leg) listed as questionable and Lonzo Ball (knee) out. Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is listed as probable for the Bucks.

Milwaukee is a 6.5-point road favorite for this 8 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 231 in the latest Bucks vs. Bulls odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Bulls vs. Bucks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 84-54 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Bulls, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Bulls:

  • Bucks vs. Bulls spread: Bucks -6.5
  • Bucks vs. Bulls over-under: 231 points 
  • Bucks vs. Bulls money line: Bucks -270, Bulls +220
  • MIL: The Bucks are 7-6 against the spread in division games 
  • CHI: The Bulls are 9-6 against the spread in division games

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee is exceptionally difficult to stop, and Chicago struggles on defense. The Bucks are in the top five of the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 1.14 points per possession. Milwaukee is in the top quartile of the league in 3-point accuracy (36.7 percent), 2-point accuracy (54.2 percent), and free-throw attempts (22.8 per game), and the Bucks commit only 13.5 turnovers per contest. 

Chicago ranks in the bottom third of the league in points allowed per possession, and the Bulls have trouble contesting shots. The Bulls are No. 26 in the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, No. 26 in 3-point percentage allowed and No. 24 in turnover creation. With the Bucks also excelling in defensive rebounding and free-throw prevention, the math swings in favor of Milwaukee.

Why the Bulls can cover

Chicago is a fantastic offensive team, scoring 112.7 points per 100 possessions. The Bulls are particularly elite in shooting accuracy, ranking No. 3 in the NBA in field-goal percentage at 48.0 percent. Chicago is also in the top four of the league in 3-point shooting (36.8 percent) and free-throw shooting (81.3 percent). The Bulls bolster their efficiency with tremendous ball security, committing only 12.6 turnovers per game, and the Bucks have notable defensive shortcomings. Milwaukee is last in the league in 3-pointers allowed, and the Bucks rank No. 28 in blocked shots and No. 25 in turnover creation. 

The Bulls are also in the top tier of the NBA in defensive rebound rate, securing 73.6 percent of available rebounds, and opponents are making only 11.6 3-pointers per game against Chicago.

How to make Bucks vs. Bulls picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 236 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Bulls vs. Bucks pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Bulls? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Bulls spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.