Lakers vs. Warriors prediction, odds, time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 best bets by model on 71-38 roll
SportsLine's model simulated Game 5 of the Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers Western Conference semifinal series in the 2023 NBA playoffs

The Los Angeles Lakers look to put a premature end to their best-of-seven Western Conference semifinal series and eliminate the defending champion Golden State Warriors in five games when they meet on Wednesday. The Lakers (43-39), who were 20-21 on the road in 2022-23, are 2-3 away from home in the postseason. The Warriors (44-38), who were 33-8 at home during the regular season, are 3-2 there during the 2023 NBA playoffs. The Lakers won three of four meetings during the regular season, splitting the two road games.
Tip off from the Chase Center in San Francisco is set for 10 p.m. ET. Golden State is allowing 113.1 points per game in the playoffs, while Los Angeles allows 106.5. Golden State is an 8-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Lakers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 225. Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Lakers:
- Lakers vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -8
- Lakers vs. Warriors over/under: 225 points
- Lakers vs. Warriors money line: Lakers +250, Warriors -320
- LAL: The Lakers are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight conference semifinal games
- GS: The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss
- Lakers vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Warriors can cover
Small forward Andrew Wiggins scored a series-high 17 points in Game 4, while grabbing four rebounds. He just missed a double-double in Game 3, with 16 points, nine rebounds, four assists and one block. In 11 postseason games, including 10 starts, Wiggins is averaging 16.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.4 blocks. Wiggins has played well against Los Angeles throughout his career as in 29 regular-season games against the Lakers, he is averaging 20.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.1 steals.
Power forward Draymond Green is coming off a solid effort against the Lakers, scoring eight points, grabbing 10 rebounds and dishing out seven assists in the Game 4 loss. He registered a double-double and nearly a triple-double in the Game 2 win, scoring 11 points and grabbing 11 rebounds, while dishing out nine assists. He is averaging 8.4 points, 6.4 rebounds and 7.5 assists in 10 postseason games. In four regular-season games against Los Angeles this year, he averaged 9.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 5.8 assists. See which team to back here.
Why the Lakers can cover
Point guard D'Angelo Russell is among five Los Angeles players averaging double-digit scoring this postseason. In 10 games, all starts, Russell is averaging 15.4 points, 5.7 assists and 3.3 rebounds per game while connecting on 43.2% of his field goals, including 34.9% from 3-point range. In the Game 3 blowout win over the Warriors, he scored 21 points, while adding five assists and three rebounds. In four regular-season games against Golden State, he averaged 15.3 points, 4.3 assists and 3.3 rebounds.
Shooting guard Austin Reaves is coming off a monster effort in Game 4, when he scored 21 points, while adding four assists, two rebounds and one steal. He's had a solid postseason, scoring in double digits in nine of 10 games. In Games 1 and 4 of the Lakers' first-round series with Memphis, he scored 23 points in each. He is averaging 14.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists in 10 playoff starts, and in four regular-season games versus the Warriors, he averaged 11 points and 3.5 assists. See which team to back here.
How to make Lakers vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 229 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. See which side to back at SportsLine.
So who wins Game 5 of Lakers vs. Warriors in the NBA playoffs 2023? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has has gone 71-38 on its NBA picks, and find out.















