Over the past two weeks, the Nuggets and Timberwolves have been fighting for the last NBA playoff spot in the Western Conference. Perhaps it's fitting that they battle each other Wednesday (8 p.m. ET) in a winner-take-all game for that final invitation to the postseason.

The Timberwolves are three-point favorites, with the over-under for total points scored set at 211.5.

For optimal analysis on this important matchup, you need to hear from SportsLine expert Galin Dragiev. The veteran NBA handicapper has had another winning season and he has been strong down the stretch.

Dragiev is on a 10-2 run in his against-the-spread selections for SportsLine and he's also 29-14 in ATS picks involving the Nuggets or Timberwolves. He has dissected this matchup and identified key factors that will determine the spread outcome. 

Dragiev knows the Nuggets have been walking a tightrope with six straight wins, five of those coming by six or fewer points. One of them was a wild 100-96 victory over the Timberwolves last week in a frenetic game that came down to the final possession.

Denver overcame an 11-point deficit in the second half Monday against Portland. The Nuggets fought for an 88-82 victory that moved them one victory away from their first postseason appearance in five years.

The Timberwolves were a popular breakout pick this season, but they've had trouble getting consistent traction. They have been hampered by an injury to veteran leader Jimmy Butler and their star-laden nucleus has been erratic, especially on the road.

The teams split the season series, each winning a tight game on its home floor. The Timberwolves pulled out a 128-125 overtime win in late December, while the Nuggets evened the score last Thursday.

Will the Timberwolves use motivation from their home-court edge to win and cover, or will the Nuggets steal the playoff bid with their seventh straight victory? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Nuggets-Timberwolves you should back on Wednesday, from a seasoned NBA handicapper on a 10-2 run.