devin-booker.jpg
USATSI

The Phoenix Suns will take on the Dallas Mavericks at 10 p.m. ET on Friday at the Footprint Center. Phoenix is 11-3 overall and 6-2 at home, while Dallas is 9-5 overall and 3-4 on the road. Phoenix won 105-98 when these teams met on Wednesday. Luka Doncic (ankle, knee) is listed as doubtful, while Maxi Kleber (oblique) has been ruled out for the Mavs. 

Phoenix is favored by 7.5 points in the latest Suns vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is set at 211.5. Before entering any Mavs vs. Suns picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavs vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Suns -7.5
  • Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 212 points

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix is the hottest team in the NBA, bringing several lengthy streaks into this game. The Suns have rattled off 10 consecutive wins, including their last six at home. They have also won seven straight games against Dallas following Wednesday's victory.

Guard Devin Booker is averaging a team-high 23.0 points per game, but it has been the Phoenix defense that has really carried the team. The Suns have now held their last four opponents to less than 100 points. They have covered the spread in seven of their last nine games and should have a loud crowd on hand for Friday's game.

Why the Mavericks can cover

While Doncic is listed as doubtful for Friday's contest, the Mavericks put up a fight without him on Wednesday. They came up short of an outright win in the end, but they did cover the spread as eight-point underdogs. Dallas has been in town for several days now, so the home-court advantage might not be as strong.

Oddsmakers are also giving the Mavericks an extra half-point of cushion to work with in this game. Dallas has covered the spread in four of its last five games and Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 22.8 points over his last six games. Guard Jalen Brunson scored 18 points in 37 minutes on Wednesday. He is shooting 50 percent from the floor this season.

How to make Suns vs. Mavericks picks

The model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.