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The Golden State Warriors will take on the Miami Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET Tuesday at FTX Arena. Miami is 2-5 overall and 1-3 at home, while the Dubs are 3-4 overall and 0-3 on the road. The Warriors have won each of the last three meetings between the teams.

The latest Heat vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook have this game as a pick'em, and the over/under is set at 226.5. Before entering any Warriors vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 97-65 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Warriors spread: Heat PK
  • Heat vs. Warriors over/under: 226.5 points
  • Heat vs. Warriors money line: Miami -110, Golden State -110
  • Heat vs. Warriors picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat were within striking distance but couldn't close the gap this past Saturday as they fell 119-113 to the Sacramento Kings. The losing side was boosted by point guard Tyler Herro, who shot 5-for-8 from downtown and finished with 34 points.

Miami is really struggling on the offensive end, ranking 26th in points per game and 23rd in offensive rating. The team is 25th in field goal percentage (44.9%) as two of its best shooters are off to cold starts. Veteran Kyle Lowry is hitting just 35.4% of his shots and sharpshooter Duncan Robinson is at just 36.4%. Victor Oladipo (knee) and Omer Yurtseven (ankle) are out for Miami.

What you need to know about the Warriors

Meanwhile, the Dubs ended up a good deal behind the Detroit Pistons when they played on Sunday, losing 128-114. One thing holding the Warriors back was the mediocre play of small forward Andrew Wiggins, who did not have his best game: he finished with 10 points on 4-for-15 shooting in his 25 minutes on the court.

Golden State leads the NBA in scoring (118.7 PPG) but ranks dead last in points allowed (122.0). The Warriors ranked third in points allowed during their championship year last season and are giving up nearly 17 more points per game. The team is 0-3 on the road this season, with an average margin of defeat of 16.7 points. Andre Iguodala (hip) and Donte DiVincenzo (hamstring) are out for Tuesday.

How to make Heat vs. Warriors picks

The model has simulated Warriors vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Heat spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.