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Scott Drew and the No. 9 Baylor Bears enter a challenging road environment on Tuesday. Baylor takes on the No. 12 Kansas State Wildcats in prime time at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan. Kansas State won the first meeting between the teams this season, prevailing on the road in overtime, and the Wildcats are 20-7 overall and 14-1 at home. Baylor is 10-2 in the last 12 games, improving to 20-7 overall and 9-5 in Big 12 action.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bears as 1.5-point favorites for this 7 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 148 in the latest Baylor vs. Kansas State odds. Before locking in any Kansas State vs. Baylor picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.  

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 16 of the season 71-42 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Baylor vs. KSU, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for KSU vs. Baylor:

  • Baylor vs. Kansas State spread: Baylor -2
  • Baylor vs. Kansas State over/under: 148 points
  • Baylor vs. Kansas State money line: Baylor -130, Kansas State +110
  • BAY: The Bears are 3-4-1 against the spread in road games
  • KSU: The Wildcats are 11-4 against the spread in home games
  • Baylor vs. Kansas State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Baylor can cover

Baylor's backcourt is the envy of most teams in the country. The Bears have a trio of elite guards, leading to a dynamic and efficient offense. Freshman guard Keyonte George leads the team with 16.6 points per game, and he is a projected lottery pick in the 2023 NBA Draft. Elsewhere, veteran Adam Flagler is one of the best shooters in the country, producing 16.0 points per game and shooting 41.5% from 3-point range, and he leads the team with 5.0 assists per contest. 

LJ Cryer is also a prominent threat from the outside, shooting 42.8% from beyond the arc and averaging 14.9 points per game. On the whole, Baylor is No. 2 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and the Bears lead the Big 12 in points per game (77.4), turnover rate (16.0%), offensive rebound rate (34.7%), and 3-point accuracy (36.8%). Baylor also ranks in the top three of the Big 12 in several defensive categories, including 3-point percentage allowed (31.6%) and free throw rate allowed.

Why Kansas State can cover

K-State has the edge on the defensive end, and the Wildcats should benefit from a friendly home-court advantage in Manhattan. The Wildcats are in the top 20 of the country in defensive efficiency, and Kansas State leads the Big 12 in opponent shooting, including a 28.1% mark allowed from 3-point range. Kansas State creates a turnover on more than 21% of defensive possessions, including a live-ball turnover on nearly 11% of trips. 

On offense, Kansas State is in the top three of the Big 12 in free throw accuracy (77.8%) and free throw creation rate, and the Wildcats assist on more than 64% of field goals. Baylor is last in the Big 12 in opponent shooting allowed on the defensive end, and the Bears are also last in 2-point defense and block rate. Baylor creates a turnover on only 16.4% of possessions, and the Bears are second-worst in the Big 12 in turnover creation rate and steal rate. 

How to make Kansas State vs. Baylor picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 147 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Baylor vs. Kansas State? And which side hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.