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The Wright State Raiders take on the Bryant Bulldogs in an intriguing 2022 First Four matchup on Wednesday evening. The winner will advance to play No. 1 seed Arizona in the 2022 NCAA Tournament, and both teams are red-hot to close the season. Wright State is 10-3 in its last 13 games, winning the Horizon League in the process, and the Raiders are 21-13 overall. Bryant is on a seven-game winning streak with 16 wins in 17 games, riding that wave to a 22-9 overall record and a Northeast Conference title.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Raiders as 2.5-point favorites in Dayton for this 6:40 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 155.5 in the latest Bryant vs. Wright State odds. Before making any Wright State vs. Bryant picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bryant vs. Wright State in the NCAA Tournament 2022. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Wright State vs. Bryant:

  • Bryant vs. Wright State spread: Wright State -2.5
  • Bryant vs. Wright State over-under: 155.5 points
  • Bryant vs. Wright State money line: Wright State -145, Bryant +112
  • BRY: The Bulldogs are 12-4 against the spread in the last 16 games
  • WS: The Raiders are 9-4 against the spread in the last 13 games

Why Bryant can cover 

Bryant boasts an encouraging statistical profile on both sides of the floor. The Bulldogs led the Northeast Conference in adjusted offensive efficiency this season, and Bryant also led the conference in free-throw creation rate. Bryant took advantage of those extra attempts by making 75.1 percent of shots at the charity stripe, and the Bulldogs also shot 54 percent on 2-point attempts in conference play. Bryant is in the top 50 in the country in offensive rebound rate at 33.0 percent, and the Bulldogs are facing a Wright State defense that is below-average nationally in defensive rebound rate, 2-point defense, block rate and steal rate. 

Bryant's defense led the Northeast in 3-point shooting allowed at 29.9 percent, and opponents shot only 47 percent on 2-point attempts. The Bulldogs are in the top 50 in free-throw rate allowed, and Bryant has an above-average block rate of 9.6 percent. Wright State also faces issues in protecting the ball, ranking outside the top 300 in the country in live-ball turnover rate on offense.

Why Wright State can cover

Though Wright State's offense carries a lot of value as the best unit in the Horizon League this season, the Raiders are also stout on defense. Wright State is No. 14 in the country in assist rate allowed, and the Raiders are excellent in free-throw prevention. Wright State was also in the top three of the Horizon League in defensive rebounding, securing more than 71 percent of missed shots by opponents. 

Bryant's offense ranks outside the top 300 in the nation in 3-point accuracy at 30.7 percent, and 12.7 percent of Bryant's shots have been blocked this season, one of the worst marks in the nation. Wright State can take advantage of the free-throw line on offense, making nearly 77 percent of attempts for the season, and Bryant struggles mightily to create turnovers and secure defensive rebounds on the other end. Finally, Wright State is one of the country's most efficient teams inside the 3-point arc, making 53.2 percent of 2-point attempts overall and 55.0 percent in conference play.

How to make Wright State vs. Bryant picks

The model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 153 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bryant vs. Wright State? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.