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Michigan State was swept by Maryland during the regular season last year, but the Spartans got their revenge with two wins over the Terrapins in 2021-22. On Thursday evening, they look to make it three in a row when they play each other in the 2022 Big Ten Tournament 6:30 p.m. ET. Maryland's Eric Ayala scored 34 total points in his team's two losses, but the Terps haven't been able to figure out the formula to get a win against Tom Izzo's side this year.

The Spartans are favored by two points in the latest Michigan State vs. Maryland odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 139.5. Before entering any Maryland vs. Michigan State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan State vs. Maryland. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Maryland vs. Michigan State:

  • Michigan State vs. Maryland spread: Michigan State -2
  • Michigan State vs. Maryland over-under: 139.5 points

What you need to know about Maryland

Maryland is out to make up for its last game against MSU on Sunday, when the Spartans came away with a 77-67 victory. Ayala finished with 19 points and six rebounds, and teammate Fatts Russell scored 16 points to go with four assists and three steals, but it wasn't enough. Something that hampered Maryland in both of its games against Michigan State this season has been 3-point shooting. In the first meeting between the two on February 1, the Terps hit just 23.5 percent of their threes, and in the second, 27.6 percent.

Maryland's outside shooting has been a problem all season, and the Terrapins have hit just 32.7 percent of their shots from downtown. An area that has been much better for them has been getting to the free-throw line. In conference play this year, Maryland drew 15.4 personal fouls and made the most free throws per game, with 14.1.

What you need to know about Michigan State

In the Spartans' most recent win against Maryland, forwards Malik Hall and Marcus Bingham Jr. were among the main playmakers, as the former had 17 points and the latter dropped a double-double on 12 points and 11 rebounds. The duo were also the top scorers for MSU in its first victory against Maryland as well, with 26 combined points and 10 rebounds.

Coincidentally, Michigan State forces turnovers at one of the lowest rates in the nation, with just 10.7 per game. The Terrapins are completely their equal, and finished the regular season with the same average. Over the two previous matchups between the two, Maryland had only one fewer turnover.

How to make Michigan State vs. Maryland picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Michigan State vs. Maryland? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.