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Truist Park showcases a highly-anticipated afternoon tilt between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants on Thursday afternoon. The Braves and Giants meet for the fourth time in as many days, with Thursday's tilt serving as the series finale. San Francisco aims to salvage a series split after losing two of the first three games. Both teams have 30 losses this season, with the Braves entering at 40 wins and the Giants posting 38 wins. Ronald Acuna Jr. and Austin Riley are out of the starting lineup for Atlanta for rest, though either could be used off the bench.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as the -145 money-line favorite (risk $145 to win $100) for this 12:20 p.m. ET first pitch. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is nine in the latest Giants vs. Braves odds. Before making any Braves vs. Giants picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 56-47 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 11 weeks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Giants vs. Braves, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Braves vs. Giants:

  • Braves vs. Giants money line: Braves -145, Giants +125
  • Braves vs. Giants over-under: 9 runs
  • Braves vs. Giants run line: Braves -1.5 (+130)
  • Braves vs. Giants tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • SF: The Giants are 18-15 in day games
  • ATL: The Braves are 11-15 in day games

Why you should back the Giants

The Giants have strengths in run production and run prevention. San Francisco owns the No. 2 walk rate in the National League, earning a walk on 9.8 percent of plate appearances. The Giants are also in the top five of the NL with a .322 on-base percentage, and former Braves outfielder Joc Pederson is red-hot for San Francisco. Pederson hit a home run against his former team on Tuesday, and he has 15 home runs and a .555 slugging percentage in 2022. 

Another former Brave, starting pitcher Alex Wood, is on the hill for the Giants, as he brings 4.32 ERA to the table with left-handed hitters posting only a .486 OPS against him. Wood has a career 3.89 ERA against Atlanta, and the Braves have the most strikeouts in the National League with a bottom-three walk rate of 7.9 percent.

Why you should back the Braves

Run prevention projects as a considerable strength for the Braves on Thursday afternoon. Atlanta starting pitcher Kyle Wright is enjoying a breakout campaign, showcasing the considerable upside he brings as a former top-five draft pick. Wright owns a 2.94 ERA this season, producing 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings alongside only 2.9 walks per nine innings. Wright is also keeping the ball in the yard, yielding only 0.5 home runs per nine innings, and he has a 2.84 ERA at Truist Park. 

In addition, opponents have a hideous .582 OPS against Wright this season, and his peripherals are strong. From there, the Braves lead the National League in wins above replacement from relief pitchers, and Atlanta's bullpen is deep and stellar. With that pitching baseline and the National League's most powerful offense in front of its home crowd, the Braves can feel encouraged about the matchup.

How to make Giants vs. Braves picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Braves vs. Giants? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.