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The Atlanta Braves visit Petco Park for the finale of a four-game set against the San Diego Padres on Sunday evening. The matchup will be broadcast nationally on Sunday Night Baseball, with both teams facing lofty aspirations this season. San Diego seeks to even the series after back-to-back 5-2 wins by Atlanta. The Braves and Padres are sporting 5-5 records through 10 games in 2022. 

First pitch is at 7:08 p.m. ET in San Diego. Caesars Sportsbook lists San Diego as the -130 favorite (risk $130 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is eight in the latest Padres vs. Braves odds. Before making any Braves vs. Padres picks, you need to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Padres vs. Braves, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Braves vs. Padres:

  • Braves vs. Padres money line: Padres -130, Braves +110
  • Braves vs. Padres over-under: 8 runs
  • Braves vs. Padres run line: Padres -1.5 (+150)
  • ATL: The Braves are 52-40 in the last 92 road games
  • SD: The Padres are 46-38 in the last 84 home games

Why you should back the Braves

Atlanta's offense is tremendous, and the Braves also deploy a stellar bullpen. The Braves are in the top three in bullpen WAR to begin the season, striking out 10.9 batters per nine innings with fewer than three walks per nine innings. Atlanta has 7.1 innings of one-run ball from the bullpen over the last two games, and the Braves are also facing a recently struggling Yu Darvish. Darvish allowed nine earned runs in only 1.2 innings in his last outing, and the veteran has an ugly 5.79 career ERA against Atlanta. 

From there, the Padres have the highest bullpen ERA (5.17) in the National League to this point, and Atlanta has standout bats to take advantage. The Braves have 12 home runs and a slugging percentage north of .400 to begin the season, and Atlanta has star-level contributors in Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Marcell Ozuna.

Why you should back the Padres

The Padres appear to have the pitching advantage in this matchup. San Diego will lean on Darvish, with the five-time All-Star generating 199 strikeouts in 166.1 innings last season. Darvish has nearly 1,600 career strikeouts, whereas the Braves will send 22-year-old Bryce Elder to the mound in only his second career start. On offense, the Padres are electric with speed, leading the National League in stolen bases (110) last season and ranking in the top three this season.

San Diego also landed in the top three of the NL in walks and strikeouts in 2021, and the Padres have standout options in the lineup. Manny Machado is a perennial All-Star, and he is off to a strong start with eight runs scored, six runs batted in, three stolen bases, and a slash line of .350/.409/.525. Jurickson Profar is showing real power early in the campaign, bashing three home runs with a .654 slugging percentage.

How to make Padres vs. Braves picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the run total, as the simulation suggests the teams will combine for nine runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Padres vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.