Paul George
USATSI

The Los Angeles Clippers aim to keep their season alive under the bright lights on Wednesday evening. The Clippers, trailing 3-2 in the 2021 Western Conference finals, return home to face the Phoenix Suns in Game 6 at the STAPLES Center. Los Angeles won on the road in Game 5, taking the first step in a potential series comeback. Ivica Zubac (knee) is listed as questionable for the Clippers after missing Game 5. Kawhi Leonard (knee) is out.

William Hill Sportsbook lists the Suns as one-point road favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 214.5 in the latest Suns vs. Clippers odds. Before you make any Clippers vs. Suns picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the conference finals of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has locked in its Suns vs Clippers picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Clippers vs Suns:

  • Suns vs. Clippers spread: Suns -1
  • Suns vs. Clippers over-under: 214.5 points
  • Suns vs. Clippers money line: Suns -115, Clippers -105
  • PHO: The Suns are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • LAC: The Clippers are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix's advanced metrics in the series fall below their season-long baseline, potentially inspiring positive regression. For example, the Suns are making fewer than 31 percent of their 3-point attempts against the Clippers, and Phoenix's talent level far exceeds that productivity. Phoenix was the seventh-ranked offensive team in the NBA this season, and the Suns connected on 49.0 percent of their field goal attempts and 83.4 percent of their free throws, ranking No. 2 in both categories. 

The Suns are also known for their balance as one of the only teams in the NBA to boast elite efficiency marks on both ends of the floor. Phoenix was stellar defensively during the regular season and the Suns have been even better in the playoffs, giving up 106.5 points per 100 possessions to all of their opponents. That includes the No. 1 mark in the 2021 NBA Playoffs in shooting efficiency allowed (49.8 percent effective field goal percentage), and the Suns are preventing the Clippers from capitalizing on the offensive glass by allowing only 8.2 second-chance points per game.

Why the Clippers can cover

Los Angeles has an impressive offensive pedigree and the Clippers continue to excel on that end of the floor. With Paul George exploding for 41 points and both Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris exceeding the 20-point mark, the Clippers zoomed to 116 points in a slow-paced affair in Game 5. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a top-three offense in the NBA, scoring nearly 1.17 points per possession, and the Clippers have been even better during their playoff run despite improved competition. The Clippers boast an offensive rating of 119.7 points per 100 possessions, and they are taking care of the ball in impressive fashion. 

Los Angeles is turning the ball over on only 11.5 percent of offensive possessions in the playoffs, and the Clippers also maintain a sterling 60.7 percent true shooting mark in the postseason. The Clippers enjoyed one of the best shooting seasons in the history of the NBA, making 41.1 percent of their 3-point attempts and 83.9 percent of their free throw attempts to lead the league in both categories. 

How to make Clippers vs. Suns picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 217 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Suns vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.