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The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Golden State Warriors in an intriguing Western Conference semifinal matchup on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Grizzlies trail the Warriors by a 2-1 margin in the best-of-seven series in the 2022 NBA playoffs, with Game 4 taking place in San Francisco. Memphis, who could be without Ja Morant (knee), needs a victory to even the series, while Golden State can take a commanding lead with another home victory. The Warriors are favored by nine points in the latest NBA odds at Caesars Sportsbook in Game 4, with an over-under total of 226 points in the game.

To open the night, the Boston Celtics visit the Milwaukee Bucks at 7:30 pm ET. Milwaukee won a memorable Game 3 tilt on Saturday, taking a 2-1 series lead. Boston aims to return the favor in a virtual must-win game on the road. Milwaukee is favored by one point at Caesars, with an over-under total of 212 points. Before locking in any NBA picks or parlays, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has set its sights on Monday's NBA playoff schedule and revealed its best bets. If you parlay its picks, you could be looking at a payout of over 12-1. You can only see the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.

Top NBA playoff picks for Monday, May 9

One of the NBA playoff picks the model recommends on Monday evening is the over 212 points in the Celtics vs. Bucks While both teams are strong on defense, this is a modest total, and there are offensive strengths on both sides. The Celtics are prolific on the offensive glass, producing a second-chance opportunity on 29.8 percent of missed shots during the playoffs. Boston has also been above-average at the free throw line in the postseason, both in attempts (22.9 per game) and accuracy (81.9 percent). 

The Celtics move the ball at a high level, averaging 25.0 assists per game in the playoffs, and Boston has a pair of scoring wings in Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown that averaged more than 23 points per game during the regular season.

On the other end, Milwaukee is capable of big things on offense behind Giannis Antetokounmpo. The former NBA MVP is averaging 31.3 points, 11.3 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game in the series, and Antetokounmpo is doing that despite below-average efficiency by his standards. He is flanked by another star in Jrue Holiday, who is averaging 23.0 points and 5.0 assists per game in the series, and the Bucks ranked in the top five of the league in offensive efficiency during the regular season.

The model is projecting the teams to combine for 219 points as the over clears over 60 percent of the time, making this one of the top picks to consider for NBA bets on Monday. 

How to make NBA playoff picks and parlays today

The model also has identified three other strong picks that need to be in your NBA parlays, including a spread selection that hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model's best bets at SportsLine.

What are the top NBA picks for Monday? And which spread pick can you bank on well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the NBA best bets, all from the model that is on an 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, and find out.