Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks host Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat this Saturday, and tipoff from the Fiserv Forum is set for 5 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is coming off of a road upset over the Houston Rockets in its season-opener. That was a statement game for a Bucks squad that wants to prove last year's 60 wins were no fluke. Even without Malcolm Brogdon and Nikola Mirotic, this Bucks team is still a force to be reckoned with. The Heat also are 1-0 after a 19-point win over the Memphis Grizzlies. Miami played that game without Jimmy Butler (personal), and they'll be missing their All-Star wing again on Saturday. Milwaukee is listed as a 10.5-point home favorite, while the over-under for total points scored is 224 in the latest Bucks vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. Bucks picks or NBA predictions, you'll want to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and anyone who followed it last season saw massive returns. The model finished 300-252 on all its top-rated picks. On top-rated against-the-spread and money line NBA picks alone, the model returned a whopping $4,280.

Now, it has locked in on Bucks vs. Heat. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see that selection at SportsLine.

The model is well aware of Milwaukee's home court advantage last year. The Bucks had the second-best cover rate (61.7 percent) at home last season, and their 33-8 record at home was the best in the Eastern Conference. 

They had an impressive plus-12.7 point differential at home, up from plus-5.7 on the road. The Bucks lost the first meeting with Miami last year; a game in which Antetokounmpo was in foul trouble throughout. After that, they won the next three games against the Heat by an average of 27 points.

Just because the Milwaukee is dominant at home doesn't mean it will cover the Bucks vs. Heat spread against Miami on Saturday, however.

The model is also aware of how well Miami's young core has played. Point guard Kendrick Nunn was the star of the preseason, averaging 27 points and seven assists per-36 minutes on 48% shooting from beyond the arc. Nunn started the season opener and put up 24 points on efficient shooting. He was joined in the starting lineup by Miami's 2019 first-round selection, Tyler Herro. He knocked down his three-pointers at a red-hot 52 percent clip this preseason, which helped him average 19.3 points per-36 minutes. He played 34 minutes and came two rebounds short of a double-double in Miami's win over the Grizzlies on Wednesday. 

The real star of Wednesday's game was Justise Winslow, who looks set to take another step forward in his age-23 season. Winslow finished with 27 points, seven assists, and seven rebounds.

So who wins Heat vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.