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The Memphis Grizzlies take on the Atlanta Hawks at 5 p.m. ET to get Saturday's NBA schedule underway. The Grizzlies welcome the Hawks to FedEx Forum for the matchup, just days after these teams faced off in a pair of preseason games in the same venue. The Hawks began this season with a lights-out showing in a blowout win over the Bulls. At the same time, though, the Grizzlies slipped up in a home loss to the San Antonio Spurs.

William Hill Sportsbook lists Memphis as a two-point favorite in the latest Hawks vs. Grizzlies odds after it was Atlanta that opened as a one-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 238.5. Before making any Grizzlies vs. Hawks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Last year, it went a stunning 61-33 on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Hawks. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Hawks vs: Grizzlies.

  • Hawks vs. Grizzlies spread: Grizzlies -2
  • Hawks vs. Grizzlies over-under: 238.5 points
  • Hawks vs. Grizzlies money line: Hawks +115, Grizzlies -135
  • ATL: The Hawks were 11-23 against the spread in road games last season
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 13-14 against the spread in non-conference games last season

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta has impressive offensive firepower, headlined by Trae Young. He was one of the league's standouts in the season opener, scoring 37 points, dishing out seven assists and grabbing six rebounds in a win over the Bulls. Young's 37 points were the most scored by an NBA player in the shot clock era on 12 or fewer field goal attempts, and he converted 5 of 6 3-pointers and 12-of-14 free throws. 

Atlanta has increased floor spacing after a busy offseason and, led by Young and Danilo Gallinari, the Hawks have tremendous personnel to create free throw attempts. Memphis ranked near the bottom of the league in free throw rate allowed last season, and that could be a crucial advantage for Atlanta on Saturday.

Why the Grizzlies can cover 

The Grizzlies were the vastly superior team last season, reaching the play-in game, and Memphis also has home-court advantage. Atlanta was a putrid road team last season, posting a 6-27 record, and Memphis was 20-17 at FedEx Forum. Behind Ja Morant, the Grizzlies return the vast majority of production from the 2019-20 season, and the Hawks are still a less than stellar defensive team. 

Atlanta was a bottom-five team in defensive rating last season, with middling or worse marks in shooting efficiency allowed, free throw rate allowed and defensive rebound rate to boot. With Memphis having strength on the offensive glass and a size advantage behind Jonas Valanciunas, the Grizzlies can feel good about the matchup.

How to make Hawks vs. Grizzlies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations projecting 245 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Hawks vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.