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A trip to the Western Conference Finals is on the line when the Phoenix Suns host the Dallas Mavericks for Game 7 on Sunday night. Dallas came out aggressive in Game 6 and won 113-86 to keep its season alive. In this do-or-die matchup, you expect both teams to come out assertive and play with high energy. 

Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET at the Footprint Center. Phoenix is favored by 6.5-points in the latest Mavericks vs. Suns odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 205. Before locking in any Suns vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs Suns, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Suns vs. Mavericks:

  • Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Phoenix -6.5
  • Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 205 points
  • Suns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix -300, Dallas +240
  • PHO: The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on Sunday 

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic is a legitimate all-around force for Dallas. Doncic's basketball instincts are top-notch with superb creativity with the ball in his hands. The three-time All-Star can score from all three levels with ease. The 2018 third overall pick is leading the team in points (31.1), rebounds (10.1), assists (6.9), and steals (1.9). In Game 6, Doncic racked up 33 points, 11 rebounds, and eight assists. 

Forward Dorian Finney-Smith is a long athlete with versatility in the front court. Finney-Smith is energetic on the defensive end while being a slasher. The Florida product gives the ultimate effort on defense and can also knock down a 3-pointer if needed. He's putting up 12.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. In Game 4, he finished with 24 points and eight boards. 

Why the Suns can cover

The Suns will be playing at home in this matchup, which will be a bonus for them. Each game in this series has been won by the home team and Phoenix is consistent at the Footprint Center. They had the best home record this season at 32-9. Guard Chris Paul will play a major role for the Suns. He brings a veteran and savvy presence to the floor while controlling the pace of play. 

Paul is fearless when attacking the lane to either score or dish the rock. The 12-time All-Star is leading the team in assists (8.7) and steals (1.5), while scoring 18.2 points per game. Center Deandre Ayton is a big-body force down low. Ayton has an array of moves in the low post with a soft touch around the rim. The Arizona product has recorded three double-doubles in this series thus far. In the last contest, Ayton tallied 21 points and 11 boards.

How to make Suns vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Suns vs. Mavericks Game 7 pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Suns vs. Mavericks spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.