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The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at the American Airlines Center. Dallas is 29-22 overall and 16-9 at home, while Oklahoma City is 15-34 overall and 6-18 on the road. The Mavericks are beginning a season-long six-game homestand. 

Dallas is favored by 12 points in the latest Mavericks vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 205.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Thunder:

  • Mavericks vs. Thunder spread: Mavericks -12
  • Mavericks vs. Thunder over-under: 205.5 points

What you need to know about the Thunder

Oklahoma City had a rough month of January, going 2-12 in its 14 games. The Thunder were finally able to snap a seven-game losing streak with a 98-81 win over Portland on Monday. It was their first game without star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who will be sidelined until after the All-Star break due to an ankle injury. 

Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 22.7 points, 5.5 assists and 4.7 rebounds per game. Rookie Josh Giddey stepped up on Monday, becoming the youngest player since LeBron James to reach 500 points, 200 rebounds and 200 assists. Oklahoma City has covered the spread in five of its last six games against a Southwest Division opponent. 

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Dallas will be looking to bounce back from a loss to Orlando on Monday when it opens a six-game homestand. The Mavericks have already recorded three wins over Oklahoma City this season, including a 104-102 win on Jan. 17. They are going to be without Kristaps Porzingis (knee), Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) and Sterling Brown (foot) on Wednesday. 

Porzingis and Hardaway are two of the top four scorers on the team, so there will be even more pressure on star Luka Doncic. He is averaging 25.6 points, 8.9 rebounds and 8.9 assists per game. The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Oklahoma City. 

How to make Mavericks vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread covers well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.