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The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors will be right in the middle of the NBA's 2025 Christmas Day slate and both franchises are hoping for some clarity this holiday season. The Mavericks are getting big contributions from No. 1 overall pick Cooper Flagg, but it might not be enough to keep Anthony Davis and Klay Thompson around with Dallas siting seven games under .500. The Warriors, who entered the year with championship aspirations, are 15-15 and now have to deal with questions about the environment in the locker room following Draymond Green's heated exchange in a huddle with head coach Steve Kerr.

Both teams could use a big win here and fans of NBA betting can get in on the action with a same-game parlay for Mavericks vs. Warriors from DraftKings Sportsbook. For a full game forecast for Mavericks vs. Warriors and NBA player prop recommendations, head over to SportsLine.

Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA same-game parlay picks

  • Stephen Curry Over 28.5 points
  • Cooper Flagg Over 20.5 points
  • Warriors -8.5

Stephen Curry Over 28.5 points

Amidst all the turmoil in Golden State, Curry remains brilliant. He's averaging 28.7 points per game this season, though he's gone Under this particular line in each of the last three games. Part of that is his perimeter shooting, which is at 30.3% over that three-game stretch. We know Curry is too good to keep coming up empty from behind the arc, and even though the Mavericks have the best perimeter defense in the league, this is one of those moments where you trust the Hall of Fame talent to win out. SportsLine projects Curry at 25.2 points, but he did go for 38 in last year's Christmas Day game against the Lakers.

Cooper Flagg Over 20.5 points

Flagg is on fire of late and is coming off a 33-point effort against the Nuggets. The rookie is getting more touches, though Thompson coming back into the lineup could hurt his usage a bit here. The Mavericks are likely going to retool their roster around Flagg, so they'd like to see how he can operate as the focal point of the team. SportsLine projects Flagg at 18.7 points, but his recent performances suggest he can get to 21+ points in this game.

Warriors -8.5

The SportsLine Projection Model has the Warriors covering this spread in 57% of simulations, and Golden State is 9-4 at home while Dallas is 3-9 on the road. This is a big number for two inconsistent teams but Curry at home has historically been the difference in these types of contests. I'll back Golden State to make a late run and pull away to cover the 8.5-point spread.

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