Spurs vs. Thunder odds, prediction, line, time: 2025 NBA picks for Christmas Day from proven model
SportsLine's model simulated OKC Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs 10,000 times and revealed its 2025 NBA Christmas Day picks
The San Antonio Spurs will look to win the season series against the defending NBA champion Oklahoma City Thunder when they meet in a key Western Conference matchup on Christmas Day. The Spurs defeated Oklahoma City 130-110 on Tuesday in San Antonio after also ending OKC's 16-game win streak in the NBA Cup semis. The Spurs (22-7), who lead the Southwest Division, are 10-5 on the road this season. The Thunder (26-4), who lead the Northwest Division, are 14-0 on their home court.
Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla., is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. The Spurs lead the all-time series 104-89. OKC is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Spurs vs. Thunder odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 235.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Spurs picks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 30-14 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Spurs vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Spurs vs. Thunder:
Spurs vs. Thunder spread: | Oklahoma City -9.5 at DraftKings |
Spurs vs. Thunder over/under: | 235.5 points |
Spurs vs. Thunder money line: | San Antonio +285, Oklahoma City -361 |
Spurs vs. Thunder picks: | |
Spurs vs. Thunder streaming: | Fubo (Try for free) |
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How to make Spurs vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine's model is going Under on the total (235.5 points). The total has gone under in six of the past 10 games between the Spurs and Thunder. The Under has also hit in two of the past four San Antonio games, and in the two of the past three Oklahoma City games. The SportsLine model is projecting San Antonio's De'Aaron Fox to score 18.4 points on average and be one of six Spurs players to score 10.2 or more points. Oklahoma City's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, meanwhile, is projected to have 30.6 points as three Thunder players score 16 points or more.
It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's NBA picks.
So who wins Spurs vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Spurs vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
