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An NFC South battle is on tap between the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta is 3-3 overall and 1-2 at home, while Carolina is 3-4 overall and 1-2 on the road. The Falcons beat the Dolphins last week, 30-28. The Panthers lost to the Giants, 25-3. 

The Falcons have won six of their last seven games vs. the Panthers. Atlanta is favored by three points in the latest Falcons vs. Panthers odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under is set at 46.5. Before entering any Panthers vs. Falcons picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,700 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021 NFL schedule on an incredible 126-85 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Panthers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Panthers vs. Falcons:

  • Falcons vs. Panthers spread: Falcons -3
  • Falcons vs. Panthers over-under: 46.5 points

What you need to know about the Falcons

Younghoe Koo made a 36-yarder as time expired in the Week 7 win over Miami. Matt Ryan passed for 336 yards and two TDs. He has thrown two-plus TD passes in his last five games. Ryan has averaged 322.8 passing yards in his past six home starts vs. Carolina. 

Kyle Pitts had seven catches for 163 yards in Week 7, which was the fourth-most receiving yards ever by an NFL rookie in a single game. His 471 receiving yards are the most by an NFL rookie in his first six games. Cordarrelle Patterson has 297 scrimmage yards and three TDs in three home games this season. 

What you need to know about the Panthers

Sam Darnold was benched in the fourth quarter of the Week 7 loss to the Giants. He threw for 112 yards with an interception. Darnold has thrown seven interceptions in his last four games. He has been sacked 15 times during that span. 

Christian McCaffrey (hamstring) will miss his fifth consecutive game this week. Chuba Hubbard is the only NFC rookie with 400-plus scrimmage yards. Robby Anderson had eight catches for 112 yards in his last road matchup with Atlanta. 

How to make Falcons vs. Panthers picks

The model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Falcons vs. Panthers? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.