The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will try to avoid suffering their second straight upset loss to an NFC South rival when they host the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football, and with the latest DraftKings promo code, new users earn $200 in bonus bets if their first $5 bet wins. Tampa Bay lost to the Saints, 24-20, as 7.5-point favorites last week, and on TNF, Tampa Bay is favored by 4.5 points. The SportsLine Projection Model doesn't expect a repeat of last week, though, making the Buccaneers covering the 4.5-point spread as one of its Thursday best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook for online sports betting.

The model is backing Over 222.5 total points in Rockets vs. Clippers, while one of SportsLine's top experts has a pick from No. 4 Iowa State taking on Iowa in a rivalry college basketball matchup. Claim the latest DraftKings promo code, where new users get $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins: 

Check out our DraftKings promo code review for full details.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 on a 50-35 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Thursday best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Buccaneers (-4.5) vs. Falcons
  • Clippers vs. Rockets: Over 222.5 points
  • Iowa vs. Iowa State: Under 143.5 points

Combining the model's three picks into a Thursday parlay at DraftKings would result in a payout of +587 (risk $100 to win $587). Bet it at DraftKings here:

Buccaneers (-4.5) vs. Falcons (-115)

Tampa Bay (7-6) hasn't played its best football in recent weeks, but neither have the Falcons, and Tampa Bay has played itself into a position where each game has significantly more meaning than maybe it expected a few weeks ago. The Buccaneers are 1-4 over their last five games, however, three of those losses came to teams in the Super Bowl picture, falling to the Rams, Bills and Patriots. Meanwhile, the Falcons (4-9) are 1-7 over their last eight games and are coming off an ugly 37-9 loss to the Seahawks last week. Kirk Cousins is 37 years old as the current Atlanta QB1, and he's clearly not the quarterback he once was. He'll take the field without Drake London (knee) once again. Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield could have reinforcements his way with wide receivers Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan activated from IR. The model projects Tampa Bay to cover in 51% of simulations. Back Tampa Bay at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:

Clippers vs. Rockets: Over 222.5 points (-108)

Kevin Durant and James Harden, former teammates with two different franchises, go head-to-head on Thursday, with Durant leading the Rockets and Harden spearheading the Clippers. Both teams are having significantly different levels of success this season, but with both teams rested and having not played since Saturday, the model projects these veteran superstars to play significant minutes, which could lead to more scoring for themselves and their teammates. The Rockets are fourth in the league in scoring at 120.9 ppg this season, and the Clippers have allowed at least 107 points in 13 of their last 14 contests. The model projects the Over to hit in 62.9% of simulations. Back the Over at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:

Iowa vs. Iowa State: Under 143.5 points (-110)

"It's fair to speculate if the Hawkeyes can really keep pace in "Hoops Cy-Hawk" after Iowa lost contact vs. Michigan State last week," SportsLine legendary expert Bruce Marshall said. "The task of slowing ISU's offense (better than 94 ppg and hitting north of 54% from the floor) will likely come down to how well Ben McCollum's offense controls pace and tempo, and preventing the Cyclones from deploying their devastating transition game that helped bury top-ranked Purdue last Saturday. Easier said than done, but even if winning the game might be a real stretch for Iowa, McCollum's team can slow the pace as good as any, and with four starters (including star G Bennett Stirtz) hitting better than 50% from the floor, the Hawkeyes can afford to be patient." Back the Under at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:

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