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Atletico Madrid will try to get it in gear on Monday when they visit Valencia for their third game of the 2022-23 Spanish La Liga season. Atletico won the league title two seasons ago, but they didn't put up much of a defense last season, even if they did finish third in the La Liga table. They were 15 points behind champion Real Madrid and two behind Barcelona, and a 2-0 loss to Villarreal last week should stir a sense of urgency. Atletico kicked off the season with a comprehensive 3-0 win against Getafe, so they will look to return to form against a Valencia squad that finished ninth last season. Los Che also started with a victory and a loss, beating Girona 1-0 before losing by the same score at Athletic Bilbao last Sunday. 

Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET in Valencia, Spain. The latest Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Atletico as the +101 favorite (risk $100 to win $101) on the 90-minute money line. Valencia is the +310 underdog, a regulation draw is listed at +225 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia picks, be sure you check out the La Liga predictions from renowned soccer bettor Jon "Buckets" Eimer.

Eimer is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, Eimer has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. He is 26-17-1 on his Premier League picks for SportsLine in 2022, for a profit of more than $800 for $100 bettors, and he is 64-50-1 on his last 115 soccer picks overall.

Now, Eimer has broken down Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia from every angle and just locked in his picks and La Liga predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid:

  • Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid spread: Atletico -0.5 (-110)
  • Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid over/under: 2.5 goals
  • Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid money line: Valencia +310, Atletico Madrid +101, Draw +225
  • VAL: Valencia are 2-5-3 and minus-4 in goals (6-10) in their past 10.
  • AM: Atletico Madrid are 5-3-2 and plus-3 in goals (11-8) in their past 10.
  • Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid picks: See picks here.

Why you should back Atletico Madrid

Valencia have not won a meeting between these teams since 2014. Atletico are 9-6-0 in the 15 meetings since then, with a 29-15 goal advantage. They had 27 shots and 12 on target in the two matchups last season. Joao Felix scored one of his eight goals of the 2021-22 campaign in the teams' most recent match, and he leads La Liga with three assists. All three of those came in the season opener, with Alvaro Morata scoring two of the goals and Antoine Griezmann getting the other. Griezmann also scored in the draw the last time these teams met in Valencia.

Morata spent the past two seasons on loan at Juventus in Italy's Serie A, and he scored 20 goals in that time. Atletico knows a rough stretch of games that includes Real Sociedad and champion Real Madrid is lurking, so they will be looking for maximum points in this one. They shouldn't be in too much danger from the Valencia attack. Los Che have just one shot on target in their first two games, and Atletico held Getafe without one in the opener. Atletico should come out with a chip on their shoulder after yielding both goals in the final 20 minutes last week.

Why you should back Valencia

Los Che made it to the final of the Copa del Rey in April, losing to Real Betis on penalties after a 1-1 draw. They face an Atletico squad that is 1-3-1 in its past five Monday matches and looked a little out of sorts last week. The Valencia defense has been almost impenetrable, allowing 17 shots, tied for third-fewest in the league, and three on target, second-best in La Liga. Valencia's shooting woes can't get any worse, as they have put one of 26 tries on net. They actually have one more attempt than Atletico (26-25), so they should start testing opposing goalkeepers. 

The Valencia attack runs through Carlos Soler, who has scored 11 goals in consecutive seasons. He scored the team's only goal so far on a penalty in the opener. Fourteen of his 22 goals the past two seasons have come on penalty kicks, and he has 13 assists over that span. 

How to make Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid picks

Eimer has scrutinized the Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides his two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his coveted La Liga picks here.

So, who wins Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia on Monday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid, all from the soccer expert who has crushed his recent soccer picks for SportsLine, and find out.