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Southampton will try to add to the misery of Chelsea on Saturday when it hosts the Blues in an English Premier League match at St. Mary's. Chelsea (17-8-4) was embarrassed by 14th-place Brentford last week in a 4-1 loss. It then suffered a 3-1 rout at the hands of Real Madrid in the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals on Wednesday. The Blues are trying to hang on to their top-four spot, as they sit third in the Premier League table but are just four points up on Tottenham and Arsenal. Southampton (8-12-10) has a history of tight games with Chelsea and has played well at St. Mary's. It salvaged a 1-1 draw with Leeds last Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak.

Kickoff is set for 10 a.m. ET in Southampton, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chelsea as the -102 favorite (risk $102 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Southampton vs. Chelsea odds, with Southampton the +285 underdog. A draw is priced at +250 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Chelsea vs. Southampton picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Southampton vs. Chelsea matchup from every angle and just revealed his coveted EPL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Chelsea vs. Southampton:

  • Southampton vs. Chelsea spread: Chelsea -0.5 (-110)
  • Southampton vs. Chelsea over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Southampton vs. Chelsea money line: Southampton +285, Chelsea -102, Draw +250
  • STH: MF James Ward-Prowse has 13 goals off 73 career free kicks (17.8 percent) 
  • CHL: GK Edouard Mendy is second in save percentage (78.1) and has 11 clean sheets

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues have actually played better on the road than at home this season, winning 10 of their 15 away matches and allowing just nine goals. They have won six straight away from Stamford Bridge and will be steamed after consecutive lopsided losses. They could rest some key players for next week's rematch with Real Madrid, but they have depth, with 13 players recording at least two goals this season. They dominated the past two meetings with the Saints, holding the ball at least 58 percent of the time and totaling 43 shots, putting 19 of those on target.

Chelsea has allowed half as many goals as Southampton (23-46) and has scored 21 more this season. It also averages 11 percent more possession. While the Saints don't allow a ton of shots, 36.1 of them are on net, tied for the second-worst mark in the EPL. Mason Mount (eight goals, seven assists) and Kai Havertz (six goals) could rest, but players like USMNT star Christian Pulisic (four goals) and Romelu Lukakau (five goals) will be eager to get opportunities. 

Why you should back Southampton

The Saints always play the Blues tough, and they are 1-2-1 in the past four league meetings. Chelsea has allowed 11 of 25 shots to hit the target in the past two games, and James Ward-Prowse and Che Adams are both dangerous players for Southampton. Ward-Prowse (seven goals, four assists) is devastating on set pieces, and his goal on a free kick salvaged the point against Leeds. Adams has scored seven goals and set up three, and his pace is often a problem for defenders. He scored the lone goal in the League Cup matchup in October.    

Southampton also is a very strong home team, losing just three of its matches this season at St. Mary's, with a plus-6 goal differential. It has allowed the fifth-fewest shots in the Premier League, and it has just seven fewer shots than Chelsea this season. Adam Armstrong has struggled to adapt to the EPL but had 44 goals the past two seasons with Blackburn. He is likely to replace Armando Broja, who has six goals but is on loan from the Blues and cannot play against them.   

How to make EPL and Southampton vs. Chelsea picks

Green has scrutinized the Southampton vs. Chelsea match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.

So, who wins Southampton vs. Chelsea in Saturday's English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Chelsea vs. Southampton match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.