Despite winning its first two games at the 2018 World Cup, Mexico still needs a positive result against Sweden to top Group F. Mexico and Sweden face off on Wednesday at 10 a.m. ET at Ekaterinburg Arena. Mexico enters its final Group F fixture at +140 on the money line in the latest odds, meaning you'd need to bet $100 on a Mexico victory to win $140. Sweden enters this fixture at +210 (wager $100 to win $210), while a draw is at +225. The over-under on total goals is 2.5, with the under favored at -145.

Before you enter your 2018 World Cup picks, you need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say. Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Together with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model. 

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, the Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds. 

The Soccerbot has already nailed draws for Argentina-Iceland (+385) and Brazil-Switzerland (+360). It also correctly predicted Iran upsetting Morocco at +275, just to name a few of its big calls. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, Soccerbot has digested the film, crunched the numbers and broken down every single player on the rosters for Mexico and Sweden. The model has released a very strong money-line pick, which it's sharing over at SportsLine. 

Mexico needs just one-point against Sweden to go through and top Group F. Mexico will still go through with a loss if Germany fails to beat South Korea. 

El Tri enters Wednesday's match against Sweden unbeaten in their last five group stage matches. In fact, Mexico has lost just two of its last 19 matches at the group stage. And history favors Mexico securing a positive result in its final group stage game. Mexico is unbeaten in four of its last five matches against Sweden.

Sweden won its opener against South Korea, 1-0, and took a 1-0 lead into the intermission against Germany. But the defending champs rallied and Toni Kroos salvaged their hopes of advancing with a spectacular winning goal in the first minute of stoppage time.

Mexico and Sweden have faced each other on nine occasions but only once at a World Cup, with Sweden winning 3-0 in 1958.

So which hungry nation wins Wednesday? Or does it end in a draw? Visit SportsLine now to see the strong Mexico-Sweden money-line pick, all from a European soccer expert whose powerful model is up 1,800 percent in three years.