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The Florida State Seminoles (13-11) host No. 9 Duke Blue Devils (19-5) in an ACC showdown on Saturday afternoon. Duke leads the all-time series 43-11 over FSU. Duke has won seven of its last eight, and 11 of the last 13, in the series. Florida State tops the ACC in turnovers forced per game (15). 

Tipoff from the Tucker Center in Tallahassee is set for 2 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. Florida State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 152. Before making any Florida State vs. Duke picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 15 of the 2023-24 season on a 131-88 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,500 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 24-12 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. FSU and revealed its CBB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for FSU vs. Duke:

  • Duke vs. Florida State spread: Blue Devils -5.5
  • Duke vs. Florida State over/under: 152 points
  • Duke vs. Florida State money line: Blue Devils -243, Seminoles +197
  • FSU: Florida State has hit the game total Over in 17 of its last 29 games
  • DUKE: Duke has hit the 1H ML in 26 of its last 33 games
  • Duke vs. Florida State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Duke can cover

Senior Jeremy Roach is a true lead guard with excellent playmaking skills. Roach has great ball handles and scores in the mid-range with ease. The Virginia native averages 13.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Additionally, he's shooting 44% from downtown. On Feb. 10, Roach had 16 points and four assists.

Sophomore forward Mark Mitchell is a combo scoring threat in the frontcourt. Mitchell owns a quick first step that allows him to get into the paint with no problem. The Kansas native is second on the team in rebounds (6.5) and third in scoring (13.1). In his previous game, Mitchell dropped 23 points, eight rebounds and two blocks. See which team to pick here.

Why Florida State can cover

Junior forward Jamir Watkins stands at 6-foot-7 but moves like a guard. Watkins has the skills to attack from all three levels with the bounce to soar above the rim. The New Jersey native leads the team in both scoring (14.5) and rebounds (5.8). In his last game, Watkins recorded 26 points, six boards and three blocks. This was his second straight game with 20-plus points.

Senior guard Darin Green Jr. is an agile sharpshooter on the outside. Green Jr. scores as a catch-and-shoot option but takes defenders off the dribble. The North Carolina product averages 11.8 points, three rebounds and shoots 38% from beyond the arc. On Feb. 13 versus Virginia Tech, Green Jr. logged 14 points, two boards and went 3-of-6 from 3-point land. See which team to pick here.

How to make FSU vs. Duke picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 150 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can see the picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Duke vs. FSU, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 24-12 roll on top-ranked college basketball spread picks.