Maryland vs. SMU prediction, odds, line: 2022 college football picks, Week 3 best bets from proven model
SportsLine's model just revealed its Week 3 CFB picks and predictions for SMU Mustangs vs. Maryland Terrapins

The SMU Mustangs and Maryland Terrapins will both be looking to stay unbeaten when they square off in a non-conference matchup on Saturday afternoon. SMU is coming off blowout wins over North Texas and Lamar, while Maryland has done the same against Buffalo and Charlotte. This will be the first meeting between the Mustangs and the Terrapins since the 1960s.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Terrapins are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Maryland vs. SMU odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 72.5. Before entering any SMU vs. Maryland picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 3 of the 2022 college football season on a 50-41 run on all top-rated college football spread and money-line picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Maryland vs. SMU and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for SMU vs. Maryland:
- Maryland vs. SMU spread: Maryland -2.5
- Maryland vs. SMU over/under: 72.5 points
- Maryland vs. SMU picks: See picks here
What you need to know about Maryland
Both teams are off to 2-0 starts this season, but Maryland has done it against stiffer competition, which puts the Terrapins in a better position to win this game. Their offense ranks No. 13 in the FBS in passing efficiency, as quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown for 681 yards and four touchdowns on 51 completions. He leads an offense that is averaging more than 500 yards and 40 points per game, with all three running backs averaging at least 8.9 yards per carry.
Tagovailoa's top three targets in the passing game are all upperclassmen, led by senior wide receiver Jeshaun Jones, who has caught 10 passes for 141 yards and two touchdowns. The Terrapins have won six consecutive games in the month of September and are 4-1 in their last five games overall. SMU has only covered the spread twice in its last seven games and it is going to have a tough time covering as a road underdog on Saturday night.
What you need to know about SMU
Meanwhile, SMU was no stranger to outgunning its opponent yards-wise, either, with 466 yards compared to the Lamar Cardinals' 252 on Saturday. Everything went the Mustangs' way against the Cardinals as they made off with a 45-16 victory. The game was all but wrapped up at the end of the third, by which point SMU had established a 38-13 advantage. Its RB TJ McDaniel looked sharp as he punched in two rushing touchdowns, with one of the most memorable plays coming on McDaniel's 57-yard TD rush in the second quarter.
Former Oklahoma quarterback Tanner Mordecai is leading the passing brigade as he tops the AAC with seven touchdowns thru the air. For his SMU career, Mordecai has 39 TDs versus nine interceptions in the team's wins compared to seven TDs and four INTs in the team's losses. His top target is Rashee Rice who ranks third in FBS in receiving yards (298) and ninth in receiving scores (three).
How to make Maryland vs. SMU picks
The model has simulated SMU vs. Maryland 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Maryland vs. SMU? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.















