Pirates vs. Cubs odds, picks for Wrigley Field April 11 night game from proven model
Our advanced computer model simulated Wednesday's Pirates vs. Cubs game 10,000 times
Major League Baseball fans get a Wednesday treat when the Cubs host the Pirates at 8:05 p.m. ET. The Cubs are -185 on the money line, meaning it would take a $185 bet on Chicago to win to return $100.
Before you bet this divisional rivalry game, you need to see what SportsLine's Projection Model is picking. This model, which simulates every at-bat 10,000 times, entered the week hitting six of its past eight top-rated selections. Anybody who has been following it is up big.
We can tell you the model says Cubs starting pitcher Jon Lester pitches into the fifth inning and racks up five strikeouts. His counterpart, Steven Brault, also turns in a strong outing.
The model has taken into account Brault's strong recent performances. The left-hander, who has already won two games this season, allowed just one run in five innings in his last outing. Brault boasts a 1.13 ERA with seven strikeouts in eight innings this season.
The model also knows that the Pirates' bats have been booming so far, averaging close to seven runs. The Bucs scored eight runs on 12 hits in Tuesday's victory over the Cubs.
But just because Pittsburgh's offense has been explosive this season doesn't mean the Pirates can pull off a second consecutive victory in as many days at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs, who are 10-5 in their past 15 games at home, feature the ninth-ranked MLB defense. And Lester is coming off his best performance of the season, allowing no runs on three hits in six innings of work against the Brewers.
The model says there's huge value on one side of the money line. You can see which side it is over at SportsLine.
So which side should you be all over? And where does the value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Pirates-Cubs money line you need to back, all from the computer model that entered the week hitting six of its last eight top-rated selections.















