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The Atlanta Hawks aim for a season sweep of the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. The Hawks are 2-0 against the Bucks in 2021-22, though Atlanta is only 31-33 overall and 12-20 on the road this season. The Bucks are on the second night of a back-to-back, and Milwaukee is 25-18 against Eastern Conference foes this season. Kevin Huerter (shoulder) is listed as probable for the Hawks, while Pat Connaughton (finger) and George Hill (neck) are out for Milwaukee.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 4.5-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 239.5 in the latest Hawks vs. Bucks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Hawks vs. Bucks match-up, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 74-47 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Bucks, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Hawks vs. Bucks:

  • Hawks vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -4.5
  • Hawks vs. Bucks over-under: 239.5 points 
  • Hawks vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -190, Hawks +160
  • ATL: The Hawks are 4-4 against the spread in the last eight games 
  • MIL: The Bucks are 7-6 against the spread in the last 13 games

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta's offense is electric and efficient. The Hawks are No. 2 in the NBA in offensive rating, scoring 114.2 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta is elite in taking care of the ball, committing only 12 turnovers per game, and it produces 2.00 assists for every turnover, the No. 4 ratio in the NBA. The Hawks connect on 37.4 percent of 3-point attempts, No. 3 in the league, and no team allows more 3-pointers per game than the Bucks. Atlanta also ranks in the top eight in both field goal percentage and free throw percentage, with an above-average mark in free throw attempts per game. 

Milwaukee ranks in the bottom third of the NBA in turnover creation and assists allowed, and Atlanta also has a notable defensive strength on the glass. The Hawks are No. 6 in the NBA in defensive rebound rate at 73.7 percent, and opponents are scoring only 12.3 second-chance points per game this season.

Why the Bucks can cover

Atlanta's defense opens up avenues for Milwaukee's offense to excel. The Hawks rank No. 27 in the NBA in defensive efficiency, struggling in various facets. Atlanta is No. 25 in the league in both field goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed, with perimeter issues slowing the opposition. The Hawks are also No. 28 in the NBA in assists allowed and No. 28 in turnover creation rate, illustrating a passive approach that makes life easier on Milwaukee. 

The Bucks are one of the best teams in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 1.13 points per possession. That includes a top-tier mark in three-point accuracy, making more than 36 percent of attempts, and Milwaukee is also attempting nearly 23 free throws per game. The Bucks are in the top 10 of the NBA in fast break points, creating easy buckets in transition, and Milwaukee protects the ball well to the tune of a turnover rate below 14 percent.

How to make Hawks vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, with only five players projected to score more than 14 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Bucks vs. Hawks picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Hawks vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Hawks vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.