untitled-design-67.png
USATSI

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Washington Wizards in a nationally televised matchup on Tuesday. The Bucks are 31-21 this season with a stellar 18-9 mark in home games. The Wizards are 23-26 in 2021-22, though Washington enters on a five-game losing streak. Bradley Beal (wrist) is out for Washington, while Brook Lopez (back) and George Hill (neck) are out for Milwaukee.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as an 11-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the Over-Under, is 229.5 in the latest Wizards vs. Bucks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Wizards vs. Bucks match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Wizards, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Wizards vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. Wizards spread: Bucks -11
  • Bucks vs. Wizards over-under: 229.5 points
  • Bucks vs. Wizards money line: Bucks -700, Wizards +475
  • WASH: The Wizards are 7-16-1 against the spread in road games
  • MIL: The Bucks are 10-17 against the spread in home games

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee has an impressive statistical profile that leads to overall success. Beyond that, the Bucks should benefit from the glaring weaknesses of the Wizards on both sides of the floor. Washington is No. 28 in the NBA in offensive rebound rate, failing to generate second-chance opportunities, and the Wizards are also No. 28 in three-point accuracy. On the other end, Washington is dead-last in the NBA in both turnovers created and steals, with the No. 25 mark in the league in free throw prevention. 

The Bucks rank in the top 10 of the NBA in both offensive rating (111.4 points per 100 possessions) and defensive rating (108.5 points allowed per 100 possessions), with top-tier marks on both ends. Milwaukee is accurate from three-point range, making 35.9 percent of attempts on offense, and the Bucks are in the top 10 of the NBA in multiple categories. This includes FG percentage allowed, 3P percentage allowed, defensive rebound rate, points in the paint allowed and fast-break points.

Why the Wizards can cover

Washington is effective in key areas on both sides of the floor. The Wizards are No. 3 in the NBA in free-throw attempts, averaging 22.4 per game, and Washington is in the top four of the league in points in the paint (51.0 per game) and 2-point accuracy (54.5 percent). The Wizards also rank in the top 10 in field-goal percentage, making 46.5 percent of attempts, as well as turnovers (13.4 per game) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.80). 

On the other end, Washington leads the league in limiting fast-break points, allowing only 7.9 per game. The Wizards are No. 2 in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (10.9 per game), and opponents are shooting only 51.1 percent on 2-point shots against Washington. The Wizards are holding the opposition to 23.0 assists per game, No. 4 in the NBA, and Washington is blocking 5.1 shots per game, a top-10 figure in the NBA.

How to make Wizards vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.