untitled-design-67.png
Getty Images

The Orlando Magic welcome the Memphis Grizzlies to Amway Center on Saturday. The teams face off in a cross-conference matchup, with the Magic entering at 12-41 overall. Memphis is red-hot this season, boasting a 17-9 road record and an overall mark of 36-18. Ja Morant (foot) is questionable to play for the Grizzlies, with Dillon Brooks (ankle) ruled out. Jonathan Isaac (knee), Markelle Fultz (knee), and RJ Hampton (knee) are out for the Magic.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Memphis as the 7.5-point road favorite for this 5 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 224.5 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Magic odds. Before making any Magic vs. Grizzlies picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Magic vs. Grizzlies, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Grizzlies vs. Magic:

  • Grizzlies vs. Magic spread: Grizzlies -7.5
  • Grizzlies vs. Magic over-under: 224.5 points
  • Grizzlies vs. Magic money line: Grizzlies -340, Magic +270
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 18-8 against the spread in road games
  • ORL: The Magic are 7-16 against the spread in home games

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis is very good on offense, including league-leading marks in several categories such as offensive rebound rate and fast-break points. The Grizzlies are also potent on defense, however, and Memphis is facing a shaky Orlando offense. Memphis is in the top eight of the NBA in defensive rating, giving up 1.08 points per possession. The Grizzlies force 15.5 turnovers per game, No. 3 in the NBA, and Memphis is No. 1 in the league in steals (10.2 per game) and blocked shots (6.4 per game). 

Opponents are shooting only 51.5 percent on 2-point attempts against Memphis, with the Grizzlies holding opponents to 12.3 second-chance points per game. Orlando is No. 28 in the NBA in offensive rating, struggling across the board, and the Magic are in the bottom five in shooting efficiency and No. 25 in ball security. 

Why the Magic can cover

Orlando is struggling this season, but the Magic do have potential avenues to exploit in this matchup. Orlando is assisting on 60.8 percent of field goals on offense, an above-average mark, and the Magic are in the top 10 in free-throw accuracy at 78.7 percent. Memphis is No. 22 in 3-point percentage allowed and No. 23 in assists allowed on defense. On the other end, the Magic are very good in defending the paint, allowing only 43.5 points per game to rank No. 6 in the NBA. 

Orlando is in the top 10 in fast-break points allowed (11.3 per game), with above-average resistance on 2-point shots (52.2 percent). Memphis is No. 28 in the NBA in 3-pointers per game and No. 23 in 3-point percentage. The Grizzlies are also in the bottom eight of the NBA in 2-point accuracy and free-throw accuracy, giving Orlando some optimism in slowing the Memphis offense.

How to make Magic vs. Grizzlies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 210 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Magic? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.