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The Utah Jazz and the Oklahoma City Thunder are set to square off in a Northwest Division matchup at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday at Vivint Arena. The Jazz are 29-31 overall and 18-12 at home, while Oklahoma City is 28-29 overall and 11-17 on the road. Both teams are going to face a conflicted second half, as they're within striking distance of making the NBA play-in tournament in the West but are clearly several pieces away from contending in a serious manner.

It's been the Jazz that have dominated the rivalry of late, winning eight of 10 straight up. However, Oklahoma City is 7-3 against the spread in those games. This time around, Utah is favored by 1 point in the latest Jazz vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook and the over/under is set at 240.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Jazz picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model exits the NBA All-Star break on a stunning 55-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Jazz vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Jazz:

  • Jazz vs. Thunder spread: Jazz -1
  • Jazz vs. Thunder over/under: 240.5 points
  • Jazz vs. Thunder money line: Utah -115, Oklahoma City -105
  • Jazz vs. Thunder picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Jazz

Utah was within striking distance but couldn't close the gap last week as it fell 117-111 to the Memphis Grizzlies. Power forward Kelly Olynyk put forth a good effort for the losing side as he posted a double-double on 28 points and 14 rebounds in addition to six dimes.

Lauri Markkanen sat that game out with a knee injury but he should be cleared to return to action after playing 25 minutes for Team LeBron in the 2023 NBA All-Star Game. However, Collin Sexton has been ruled out with a knee injury and he was averaging 19.3 points and 5.5 assists in the four games that he started and finished after the Mike Conley trade was completed.

What you need to know about the Thunder

Meanwhile, everything came up roses for Oklahoma City at home against the Houston Rockets last Wednesday as the squad secured a 133-96 victory. With Oklahoma City ahead 76-54 at the half, the contest was all but over already. It was another big night for shooting guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who had 29 points and six assists.

It's been an unbelievable season for Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 30.8 points, 5.7 assists, 4.7 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 1.1 blocks per game. He's carried the Thunder into the playoff race in the West and he'll continue to be the driving force in their success in the second half.

How to make Thunder vs. Jazz picks

The model has simulated Jazz vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Jazz vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.