NBA odds, picks, best bets for Thursday, Dec. 11 from proven model: This 3-leg parlay returns over +600
After 10,000 simulations, SportsLine's model reveals its top NBA picks today

A four-game NBA schedule highlights Thursday's 2025-26 NBA slate. Among the notable NBA odds include Trail Blazers (-4.5) vs. Pelicans, Clippers vs. Rockets (-9.5), Celtics (-9.5) vs. Bucks and Nuggets (-10.5) vs. Kings. Boston is looking to extend its winning streak to six games, while New Orleans is out to snap a seven-game losing streak.
What are the NBA best bets for Thursday, and which combination of picks should you target in a Thursday NBA parlay? Before locking in any NBA picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your bet wins:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2025-26 NBA season on a sizzling 29-14 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has scoured the latest NBA odds and locked in three confident NBA best bets. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a payout of over +600. You can only see the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.
New users can also check out the latest FanDuel promo code and get $150 in bonus bets instantly at FanDuel if your $5 bet wins:
Top NBA picks for Thursday, Dec. 11
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is backing the Nuggets (-10.5) to cover the spread against the Kings at Sacramento at 10 p.m. ET. Denver has won seven of the last eight meetings with Sacramento, and the Over has hit in six of the past 10 head-to-head meetings between the teams. Sacramento defeated the Nuggets 128-123 on Nov. 22 in Denver.
Denver will be without forward Aaron Gordon (hamstring), who is not expected to return until after Christmas, and guard Christian Braun (ankle). Sacramento will be without leading scorer Zach LaVine (thumb) and forward Domantas Sabonis (knee). The Nuggets have won three in a row and 14 of 18, and are the third seed in the West. The Kings, meanwhile, have lost five of six and 13 of 16 and are tied with the Clippers for fourth place in the Pacific Division. Denver is coming off a 115-106 win at Charlotte on Sunday, while Sacramento dropped a 116-105 decision at Indiana on Monday.
The model is projecting five Nuggets players to score 11 or more points, led by Nikola Jokic, who is projected to score 32.2 points. The model also says five Kings players will score 12.7 points or more, led by DeMar DeRozan's 17.4 points. The model is also projecting that this game will be decided by a big margin as Denver covers in nearly 70% of simulations. See which other NBA parlay picks to make here.
How to make NBA predictions for Thursday, Dec. 11
The model also has locked in two more picks, including another bet that hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's NBA parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top NBA parlay picks for Thursday, and which best bets should you target for a chance at a payout of over +600? Visit SportsLine now to see NBA best bets from a model that's returned more than $10,000 on top-rated picks, and find out.
















