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A Western Conference Semifinal bout has the Denver Nuggets and the Phoenix Suns playing on Monday night. The Nuggets stormed out to a 1-0 lead in this 2023 NBA playoff series after recording a 125-107 win over the Suns in Game 1. The Nuggets are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games. On the flip side, the Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Denver.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as a 4-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Nuggets odds. The over/under for total points is 229. Before locking in any Nuggets vs. Suns picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Nuggets and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Nuggets vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Nuggets: Denver -4
  • Suns vs. Nuggets Over-Under: 229 points
  • Suns vs. Nuggets money line: Phoenix +140, Denver -165
  • PHO: Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an against the spread loss
  • DEN: Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
  • Suns vs. Nuggets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Nuggets can cover

Center Nikola Jokic has an outstanding IQ in the frontcourt. Jokic's court vision is off the charts and he has a knack for getting his teammates involved. The two-time MVP is also a great finisher in the lane, while he ranks first on the team in rebounds (13.5) and assists (8.3) with 25.8 points per game this postseason. In Game 1, Jokic had 24 points, 19 rebounds, and five assists.

Forward Bruce Brown plays a nice role for the Nuggets off the bench. Brown excels as a wing rebounder and finisher in the paint. The Miami product is constantly cutting to the rim and plays tough-nosed defense on the other end. Brown is averaging 11.8 points, 2.5 assists, and 1.5 steals per game in the playoffs. In his last outing, he dropped 14 points, three assists, and three steals. See which side to back at SportsLine.

Why the Suns can cover

Forward Torrey Craig plays top-notch defense and uses his length as an asset. The 32-year-old excels in transition and owns a reliable jumper on the perimeter as a catch-and-shoot option. Craig is averaging 10.8 points and 3.7 rebounds per game during the postseason. On April 20 versus the Clippers, he logged 15 points, four rebounds, and went 3-of-4 from downtown.

Guard Chris Paul brings a veteran edge to the floor. Paul is a true floor general and does an exceptional job orchestrating the offense. The 12-time All-Star is lights out in the mid-range, and Paul leads the team in assists (7.7) with 13.2 points and two steals per game in the playoffs. In the closeout win over the Clippers, he had 15 points, five boards, and seven dimes. See which side to back at SportsLine.

How to make Suns vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine's model has simulated Nuggets vs. Suns and is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 230 points. The model also says one side hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who Suns vs. Nuggets? And which side hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 71-38 on its NBA picks, and find out.