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The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at 8 p.m. ET on Friday at the Target Center. Minnesota is 42-32 overall and 24-13 at home, while the Mavericks are 45-28 overall and 20-16 on the road. Dallas picked up a 110-108 victory when these teams met earlier this week.

Minnesota is favored by three points in the latest Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is set at 228.5. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Timberwolves vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves:

  • Timberwolves vs. Mavericks spread: Timberwolves -3
  • Timberwolves vs. Mavericks over-under: 228.5 points

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

Minnesota held a 13-point halftime lead against Phoenix on Wednesday, but it was outscored by 22 points over the final 24 minutes of the game. The Timberwolves have now dropped two straight games following a stretch of 10 wins in 11 tries. They led Dallas by three points with three minutes remaining on Monday, but they were outscored 10-5 the rest of the way. 

Center Karl-Anthony Towns leads Minnesota with 24.7 points and 9.9 rebounds per game. Small forward Anthony Edwards is chipping in 21.0 points per game for the Timberwolves, who are currently ranked seventh in the Western Conference. They have covered the spread in 10 of their last 13 games. Towns is playing through an arm injury that has him listed as questionable, while Jaden McDaniels (ankle) has been ruled out for Friday's game.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Dallas has put together a strong month thus far, going 9-3 through its first 12 games. The Mavericks have bounced back from a two-game losing skid with consecutive wins over Minnesota and Houston. They have won 16 of their last 21 games, putting themselves in a tie with Utah for fourth place in the Western Conference. 

Jalen Brunson scored 16 of his 28 points against the Rockets in the third quarter, marking his highest point total in a game since Dec. 21. All-Star Luka Doncic, who averages 27.9 points, 9.1 rebounds and 8.6 assists, was out (rest) on Wednesday. The Mavericks are on an eight-game winning streak against Western Conference opponents. 

How to make Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks

The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Timberwolves? And which side covers almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.