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The Green Bay Packers have opened the 2023 season with an uncharacteristic 2-5 record and look to turn around their season at home on Sunday against the 3-5 Los Angeles Rams. Green Bay lost a home game against Minnesota in Week 8, 24-10, while the Rams lost big at Dallas, 43-20. The Packers have won three straight in the rivalry and eight of the last nine matchups dating back to 2007. Green Bay won this matchup 24-12 last season. The Packers are 3-4 against the spread, while the Rams are 4-3-1 ATS in 2023.

Kickoff from Lambeau Field is set for 1 p.m. ET. Green Bay is a 4-point favorite in the latest Packers vs. Rams odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 38. Before making any Rams vs. Packers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 9 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-1223 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 28-15 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Rams vs. Packers and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 9 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Rams:

  • Packers vs. Rams spread: Packers -4
  • Packers vs. Rams over/under: 38 points
  • Packers vs. Rams money line: Packers -198, Rams +165
  • Packers vs. Rams picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Packers vs. Rams live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Rams can cover

Los Angeles might have additional issues if quarterback Matthew Stafford misses this matchup with a thumb injury. His status at for Sunday's game appears dicey as he officially carries the questionable tag. Despite his team's record, Stafford has played fairly well in 2023, having thrown for 2,070 yards and eight touchdowns in the team's eight games. If he is unable to go, fourth-year veteran Brett Rypien, who completed 5 of 10 passes for 42 yards against Dallas last week, will be the Rams' starter.

With wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua to defend against, Green Bay's secondary will have its share of difficulties on Sunday. Kupp has 21 receptions for 316 yards and one score in the four games since returning from injury, while Nacua has 61 catches for 795 yards and two touchdowns in 2023. With LA's running game depleted with Kyren Williams on injured reserve, the Rams' best chances to move the ball effectively against the Packers will be through the air. See which team to pick here.

Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay might have a Jordan Love problem that may or may not be fixable. With Aaron Rodgers traded to the Jets in the offseason, Packers management was confident that Love would develop into the team's quarterback of the future. Through seven games, it's fair to say that he hasn't lived up to their expectations. Despite showing flashes of brilliance, Love has only completed 57.7% of his passes for 1,492 yards and 11 touchdowns, with eight interceptions. The team has generated only 60 points in their last four games and must improve if they are to defeat the potent Rams on Sunday.

It hasn't helped Love's cause that he's been without star running back Aaron Jones and top wide receiver Christian Watson for most of the season. Jones only has 39 total touches this season and his health will be vital to Green Bay turning around their 2023 fortune. Watson has caught 11 passes for 176 yards and one score in only four games. If both can play a full complement of snaps this Sunday, the Packers' chances of playing well should increase significantly. See which team to pick here.

How to make Packers vs. Rams picks

The model has simulated Rams vs. Packers 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's Rams vs. Packers pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Los Angeles vs. Green Bay on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Packers vs. Rams spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 174-123 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.