Bayern Munich vs. Benfica odds, picks, how to watch, live stream: UEFA Champions League best bets for Nov. 2

European soccer model reveals Champions League best bets for Bayern Munich vs. Benfica on Paramount+

By CBS Sports Staff

Nov 2, 2021 at 2:22 pm ET • 2 min read

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Benfica is hoping to catch Bayern Munich by surprise on Tuesday when they face each other for the second time in UEFA Champions League group play. Bayern won the first meeting in a decisive 4-0 result, but the Portuguese side has taken a win and draw from its other two Group E matches. Should Benfica find a way to win, it ensures it will stay ahead of Barcelona in the group and give itself a chance to move on to the next stage. You can catch the match live on Paramount+.

Kickoff for Benfica vs. Bayern Munich is set for 4 p.m. ET from Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany. Bayern is the -560 favorite (risk $560 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Bayern Munich vs. Benfica odds. Benfica is the +1400 underdog, a draw would return +625, and the over-under is 3.5 goals. Tuesday's match will be streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch the UEFA Champions League and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream (including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour), no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start, so sign up now here.

How to watch Bayern Munich vs. Benfica

Date: Tuesday, November 2
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Streaming: Paramount+

UEFA Champions League picks for Benfica vs. Bayern Munich

Before you tune in to Tuesday's match, you need to see the Bayern Munich vs. Benfica picks from SportsLine's proprietary European soccer model. Created by two Norwegians -- professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim -- the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine last year, the algorithm is up over $8,500.

For Bayern Munich vs. Benfica, the model is choosing Bayern Munich to win on the money line. Bayern's dominance in all phases of the game is impossible to ignore, but from a goal-scoring perspective, there is little optimism that Benfica could hope to keep pace with the top German club. Besides Robert Lewandowski, Leroy Sané has emerged as a second scoring option for Bayern, with a goal in each of the team's UCL matches this year.

In the 12-match history between the two clubs, Benfica has never won, but has escaped with two draws. The most recent tie between the two came in 2016, when Bayern was the visiting side, but as the home team this time around, the likelihood that Benfica leaves with anything other than a loss is minimal. Benfica started its 2021-22 competitions without a loss in its first 13 matches, but is just 2-2-2 in its last six overall.

Bayern is as disciplined a side as there is in the entire competition. At home, with the confidence from the result of their last meeting in mind, backing Bayern is optimal, according to the model.