It's a matchup of struggling teams trying to finish strong when Burnley hosts Southampton on Thursday in an English Premier League match at Turf Moor. Burnley (4-3-14) needs a strong run to avoid relegation, as it sits 18th in the Premier League table, three points adrift of safety. Southampton (9-12-11) is seeking to finish in the top half of the table for the first time since 2016-17, as it is 12th but just one point out of ninth. The game was postponed from March 19, with Southampton's FA Cup match presenting a conflict. The Saints lost 4-1 to Manchester City in the quarterfinals the following day. Both teams are 1-1-5 in their last seven matches, but Southampton beat Arsenal 1-0 last weekend while the Clarets drew 1-1 with West Ham.

Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET in Burnley, England. Burnley is a slight +160 favorite (risk $100 to win $160) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Burnley vs. Southampton odds. Southampton is a +175 underdog, a draw is priced at +230 and the over-under for total goals is set at 2.5. Before locking in any Southampton vs. Burnley picks, you need to see what red-hot SportsLine soccer insider Brandt Sutton has to say.

Sutton, a former collegiate soccer player, has been SportsLine's top soccer editor for nearly five years. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most-informed decisions possible, keeping his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe. 

Sutton also has been on a roll with his best bets, going 66-51 in his last 117 soccer picks, returning over $900 for $100 bettors during that span.

Now, Sutton has broken down the Burnley vs. Southampton matchup from every angle and just locked in his coveted picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Southampton vs. Burnley:

  • Burnley vs. Southampton spread: Southampton -0.5 (+150)
  • Burnley vs. Southampton over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Burnley vs. Southampton 90-minute money line: Burnley +160, Southampton +175, Draw +230 
  • BUR: James Tarkowski leads the Premier League in blocks (83) and clearances (189) 
  • SOU: Mohammed Salisu leads the league in successful pressures (40.5 percent)

Why you should back Southampton

The Saints should draw some confidence from their win against the Gunners, who are in the mix for a Champions League berth. Goalkeeper Fraser Forster was spectacular in the match, making six saves as Arsenal fired 23 shots. He has six of the team's nine wins in his 15 starts and is sure to start again with Alex McCarthy out injured. He is unlikely to face many challenges, as Burnley ranks last in shots (315) and shots on target (86). The Clarets also have allowed the second-most shots (520), while Southampton has 417 this season, seventh-most in the league.

The Saints average 9 percent more possession, and they have talent up front, with James Ward-Prowse, Che Adams and Armando Broja all offering different skills. Ward-Prowse (seven goals, four assists) is a weapon on corners and crosses and can be lethal on free kicks, while Adams (seven goals) has the speed to beat the defense. Broja (six goals) and Mohamed Elyounoussi (four) are both relentless workers who will be thorns in the sides for Burnley. 

Why you should back Burnley

The Clarets see an opportunity, as five of their final seven games are against teams in the bottom half of the table. Southampton has lost two of its last three games against such teams, so Burnley will be after all three points. Burnley leads the league in draws but knows it needs more, so players like Wout Weghorst and Maxwel Cornet will be in attack mode. Weghorst, who had six goals with Wolfsburg, got his second with the Clarets in a 1-1 draw with West Ham on Sunday.      

Cornet scored twice in the 2-2 draw with the Saints in October and leads the team with seven goals. He will be looking to atone for a missed penalty kick in Sunday's game. The Saints back line has shown vulnerability, allowing 52 goals (fifth-most), while Burnley's is tough to penetrate. It leads the league in blocked shots (612). In its last match at Turf Moor, Burnley beat Everton 3-2 for a critical victory in its race against relegation. It has lost just one of its last six games against Southampton at home and has taken at least a point from nine of its 15 games there.     

How to make Burnley vs. Southampton picks

Sutton has analyzed Burnley vs. Southampton from all sides, and he is taking the under on the goal total. He also provides a confident money line best bet and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his expert EPL picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Southampton vs. Burnley on Thursday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Burnley vs. Southampton match, all from the soccer expert on a 66-51 run on his soccer picks, and find out.