MLB Best Home Run Bets July 23
Hitting at a daily rate of 80% since the All-Star break and +32.5 units in the last month! The Inside the Lines team gives out free home run picks daily. Bookmark the blog to be part of the action.
More Free Picks on the Inside the Lines Blog
MLB Best HR Bets 7/23
José Ramírez (CLE) +390, FanDuel
Ramírez has three home runs over his last four games and now has a homer in 7 of his last 12. Zach Eflin is making his first start in nearly a month, and when healthy this season, he hasn't been sharp—allowing 16 home runs in just 62 innings pitched. In his last 3 starts alone, he gave up 27 hits and 5 home runs. We set the line at +300 for Ramírez to hit a HR.
Christian Yelich (MIL) +650, BetMGM
Luis Castillo has been dominant over his last 4 starts, not allowing a single home run during that stretch. Still, getting +650 for Yelich to homer is worth a longshot play. Yelich has 41 plate appearances against Castillo in his career, going 6-for-29 with a home run and 11 walks. That familiarity should work in Yelich's favor. Castillo allowed 1.3 HR/9 over the last two seasons, though that number is down to 0.9 HR/9 this year. We're taking the angle that Castillo is due to give up a homer or two today. We set Yelich's line at +410 to homer.
Francisco Lindor (NYM) +400, BetMGM
Lindor is 0-for-28 over his last 6 games, but we're buying low on him today. The Angels are going with a bullpen game, and their bullpen owns the third-worst ERA in the majors at 5.06. They also lead MLB in home runs allowed with 59. Lindor has a .843 OPS at home this season, so if you're going to buy low during a slump, doing it at home makes sense. We set Lindor's line at +340 to hit a HR.
Last Month of Home Run Picks
Below is a recap of the past month of Home Run picks (over +32 units). You can see based on the units (-1u if they did not hit a HR) which hit and which did not. It does not include the 3-1 +1.68 unit Home Run Derby. You can visit the blog to see these picks when they were originally posted.
| 23-Jun | KETEL MARTE +380 DK (3.8u) | RONALD ACUNA +350 BETMGM (3.5u) | WYATT LANGFORD +525 BETMGM (-1u) | 6.25 |
| 24-Jun | JAC CAGLIANONE +700 bet365 (-1u) | PETE CROW-ARMSTRONG +470 FD (-1u) | ELLY DE LA CRUZ +370 FD (-1u) | -3 |
| 25-Jun | KYLE SCHWARBER +300 BETRIVERS (-1u) | RONALD ACUNA +375 BETMGM (-1u) | BRANDON LOWE +450 BETMGM (-1u) | -3 |
| 26-Jun | JOSE RAMIREZ +440 FD (-1u) | BRENT ROOKER +400 BETMGM (-1u) | RONALD ACUNA +360 BETMGM (-1u) | -3 |
| 27-Jun | NICK KURTZ +500 FD (-1u) | JUAN SOTO +450 FD (4.5u) | KETEL MARTE +525 BETMGM (-1u) | 2.5 |
| 28-Jun | RILEY GREENE +425 BETMGM (4.25u) | COLTON COWSER +400 BETMGM (-1u) | FRANCISCO LINDOR +390 FD (-1u) | 2.25 |
| 29-Jun | NICK KURTZ +420 BETRIVERS (-1u) | JUNIOR CAMINERO +450 BETRIVERS (-1u) | KETEL MARTE +500 BETRIVERS (5u) | 3 |
| 30-Jun | WILYER ABREU +420 FD (4.2u) | KETEL MARTE +600 BETMGM (-1u) | JOSH JUNG +600 BETMGM (-1u) | 2.2 |
| 1-Jul | RILEY GREENE (DNP) | JUAN SOTO (DNP) | BYRON BUXTON +460 BETRIVERS (-1u) | -1 |
| 2-Jul | NICK KURTZ +470 FD (-1u) | RILEY GREENE +400 BETMGM (4u) | JUNIOR CAMINERO +390 BETRIVERS (-1u) | 2 |
| 3-Jul | CAM SMITH +500 FD (-1u) | PETE ALONSO +360 BETRIVERS (-1u) | RHYS HOSKINS +540 BETRIVERS (-1u) | -3 |
| 4-Jul | JUAN SOTO +390 FD (3.9u) | JUNIOR CAMINERO +360 BETMGM (-1u) | RONALD ACUNA +450 BETMGM (-1u) | 1.9 |
| 5-Jul | JAMES WOOD +375 BETMGM (-1u) | KETEL MARTE (DNP) | CHRISTIAN YELICH +540 FD (-1u) | -2 |
| 6-Jul | KYLE STOWERS +540 FD (-1u) | PETE ALONSO +450 FD (-1u) | BOBBY WITT +550 BETMGM (5.5u) | 3.5 |
| 7-Jul | RILEY GREENE +475 BETMGM (-1u) | KYLE SCHWARBER +450 DK (-1u) | KETEL MARTE (DNP) | -2 |
| 8-Jul | COREY SEAGER +430 FD (4.25u) | JUNIOR CAMINERO +450 DK (-1u) | JAMES WOOD +600 BETMGM (-1u) | 2.25 |
| 9-Jul | WILYER ABREU +450 BETMGM (4.5u) | JAZZ CHISHOLM +375 BETMGM (3.8u) | KYLE SCHWARBER +400 BETMGM (4u) | 12.25 |
| 10-Jul | JONATHAN ARANDA +560 FD (-1u) | PETE ALONSO +400 BETMGM (-1u) | WYATT LANGFORD +470 DK (-1u) | -3 |
| 11-Jul | SEIYA SUZUKI +425 DK (-1u) | JAZZ CHISHOLM +400 BETMGM (-1u) | COREY SEAGER +460 BETRIVERS (-1u) | -3 |
| 12-Jul | JAMES WOOD +390 DK (-1u) | GEORGE SPRINGER +425 BETMGM (-1u) | JUAN SOTO +425 BETMGM (4.25u) | 2.25 |
| 13-Jul | TYLER SODERSTROM +450 BETMGM (4.5u) | KETEL MARTE (DNP) | RILEY GREENE +525 BETMGM (5.25u) | 9.8 |
| 18-Jul | JUNIOR CAMINERO +425 BET365 (4.25u) | ONEILL CRUZ +425 DK (-1u) | GUNNAR HENDERSON +450 BETMGM (-1u) | 2.25 |
| 19-Jul | RONALD ACUNA +390 BET365 (-1u) | ONEILL CRUZ +420 BETRIVERS (-1u) | JOSE RAMIREZ +350 FD (3.5u) | 1.5 |
| 20-Jul | NICK KURTZ +400 FD (-1u) | RONALD ACUNA +380 DK (3.8u) | LUIS ROBERT +500 FD (-1u) | 1.8 |
| 21-Jul | JAMES WOOD +475 BETMGM (-1u) | GEORGE SPRINGER +450 DK (-1u) | BRANDON LOWE +400 BETMGM (-1u) | -3 |
| 22-Jul | JO ADELL +440 BETRIVERS (-1u) | JAZZ CHISHOLM +450 BETRIVERS (4.5u) | RILEY GRENE +500 BETMGM (-1u) | 2.5 |
| TOTAL PROFIT | 32.5 |
