Duke vs. Miami prediction, odds: 2023 college basketball picks, Jan. 21 best bets by proven model
SportsLine's model just revealed its CBB picks, predictions and best bets for Miami Hurricanes vs. Duke Blue Devils on Saturday

Cameron Indoor Stadium hosts an ACC matchup between talented squads on Saturday afternoon. The Duke Blue Devils host the No. 17 Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes in a highly-anticipated battle. Duke is 13-5 overall and 9-0 at home this season in the first campaign under Jon Scheyer. Miami is 15-3 overall and 6-2 in ACC play, and this is the first of two regular season matchups between the Hurricanes and Blue Devils this season.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Blue Devils as 5.5-point home favorites for this noon ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 148 in the latest Miami vs. Duke odds. Before making any Duke vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 11 of the season 41-21 on all-top rated college basketball picks, returning more than $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. Miami and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Miami vs. Duke:
- Duke vs. Miami spread: Duke -5.5
- Duke vs. Miami over/under: 148 points
- Duke vs. Miami money line: Duke -250, Miami +205
- Miami: The Hurricanes are 4-1 against the spread in road games
- Duke: The Blue Devils are 5-4 against the spread in home games
- Duke vs. Miami picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Miami can cover
Miami has four players averaging double figures in scoring this season, led by Isaiah Wong with 16.7 points per game. Norchad Omier leads the team with 10.2 rebounds per game, and he adds 14.0 points and 1.5 blocked shots per contest while shooting 61.6% from the field. Miami is in the top 10 of the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and the Hurricanes are shooting 56.3% from inside the 3-point arc this season, including an ACC-leading 55.3% mark in conference play.
Miami is very strong at the free throw line, shooting 76.5% this season, and the Hurricanes are solidly above-average in offensive rebound rate (33.5%) and turnover rate (16.8%). Duke is below-average in creating turnovers on the defensive end, including the ACC's No. 11 steal rate (6.9%) during conference play to this point.
Why Duke can cover
Duke has immense talent, including freshman big man Kyle Filipowski. He is averaging 14.9 points and 9.2 rebounds per game, leading the team in both categories, and Duke is unquestionably elite on the offensive glass. Duke has a 38.8% offensive rebound rate, leading to immense second-chance opportunities, and the Blue Devils are shooting 78.4% from the free throw line while creating an above-average volume of attempts. Miami struggles to a 67.5% defensive rebound rate, creating an even clearer path for Duke's offensive rebounding prowess.
On defense, Duke is holding opponents to 28.4% shooting from 3-point range, and the Blue Devils are in the top 30 nationally in free throw rate allowed. Duke is blocking 11.6% of shots and securing 74% of available defensive rebounds. Miami is below-average in free throw rate on offense, and the Hurricanes have an ugly 16.3% turnover rate in conference play, ranking No. 11 in ACC play.
How to make Miami vs. Duke picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 147 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Duke vs. Miami? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has seen profitable returns on its college basketball picks this season, and find out.















