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USATSI

Familiar early-season foes lock horns during the 2023 Champions Classic on Tuesday in Chicago when the 18th-ranked Michigan State Spartans face the ninth-ranked Duke Blue Devils. The Spartans (1-1), who placed fourth in the Big Ten at 11-8 last season, were 21-13 overall and reached the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16. The Blue Devils (1-1), who tied for third in the Atlantic Coast Conference in 2022-23 at 14-6, were 27-9 overall before being knocked out in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Duke is 14-4 all-time against Michigan State, including 3-1 in the Champions Classic.

The game from the United Center will tip off at 7 p.m. ET. Duke is averaging 85 points per game, while Michigan State averages 75. The Blue Devils are 4-point favorites in the latest Michigan State vs. Duke odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 141.5. Before making any Duke vs. Michigan State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 2 of the 2023-24 season on an 87-56 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. Anyone who followed it saw huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. Michigan State and revealed its CBB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Michigan State vs. Duke:

  • Michigan State vs. Duke spread: Duke -4
  • Michigan State vs. Duke over/under: 141.5 points
  • Michigan State vs. Duke money line: Michigan State +149, Duke -180
  • MSU: The Spartans have hit the team total over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 units)
  • DUKE: The Blue Devils have hit the game total under in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.60 units)
  • Michigan State vs. Duke picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Duke can cover

Sophomore center Kyle Filipowski is off to a fast start to the season, averaging 25 points, 7.5 rebounds, one block and one steal per game. He has been on fire from the floor, connecting on 62.5% of his field goals, including 57.1% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line. He has already logged 58 minutes of action this season. In 36 games, all starts a year ago, he averaged 15.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.3 steals.

Senior guard Jeremy Roach has also been locked in on offense. He is averaging 15.5 points, three assists, 1.5 rebounds and one steal in 70 minutes of action on the year. He also has been hot from the floor, connecting on 52% of his shots, including 42.9% from 3-point range. A year ago, he averaged 13.6 points. See who to back at SportsLine. 

Why Michigan State can cover 

Guard Tyson Walker has led the Spartans in the early going of the season and is averaging 24.5 points, three rebounds and two assists per game. He scored 35 points in the opener against James Madison on Nov. 6. Walker is a 2023-24 Preseason All-Big Ten selection, and was named a second-team Preseason All-American. He is returning to Michigan State for his fifth year at the collegiate level and third as a Spartan.

Guard Jaden Akins, who averaged 9.8 points in 30 games a year ago, including 25 starts, is tied for the second-most points on the team with forward Coen Carr with 17 (8.5 average). Akins is the top rebounder at nine per game, and is averaging two steals and 1.5 assists. He scored in double figures 13 times in 2022-23, including in six of the last seven games. During the NCAA Tournament, Akins averaged 11 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.7 steals. See who to back at SportsLine. 

How to make Michigan State vs. Duke picks

The model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 140 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Duke vs. Michigan State, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on an 87-56 roll on top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.