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The Cincinnati Bearcats and the SMU Mustangs are set to square off in an American Athletic matchup at 7 p.m. ET Thursday at Moody Coliseum. SMU is 20-7 overall and 14-0 at home, while the Bearcats are 17-13 overall and 4-6 on the road. The Bearcats have dominated the recent series, winning each of the last 10 meetings including a 77-60 victory on Jan. 6.

The Mustangs are favored by seven points in the latest SMU vs. Cincinnati odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 141. Before entering any Cincinnati vs. SMU picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on SMU vs. Cincinnati. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Cincinnati vs. SMU:

  • SMU vs. Cincinnati spread: SMU -7
  • SMU vs. Cincinnati over-under: 141 points

What you need to know about SMU

The contest between SMU and the Houston Cougars on Sunday was not a total blowout, but with SMU falling 75-61 on the road, it was darn close to turning into one. SMU's loss came about despite a quality game from guard Kendric Davis, who had 19 points. But he was 0 for 4 beyond the arc and Southern Methodist struggled as a team on three-pointers, shooting just 19 percent (4 for 21).

Davis leads the Mustangs with 19.3 points per game which leads the AAC and he also ranks third in the conference with 4.6 assists. He appears well on his way to a third straight All-AAC team selection and SMU goes as he goes. Southern Methodist is 17-3 when Davis scores at least 17 points but just 3-3 when he fails to reach 17 points.

What you need to know about Cincinnati

Meanwhile, Cincinnati lost to Houston on the road by a decisive 71-53 margin. It was the fourth straight loss for the Bearcats who dropped to 3-8 over their last 11 games. Guard Jeremiah Davenport had a pretty forgettable game, finishing with only seven points on 2-for-10 shooting in his 30 minutes on the court.

Cincinnati leads the AAC in both 3P makes and 3P attempts, despite middling efficiency as it ranks fifth out of 11 teams in 3P percentage. But Cincy also shoots itself in the foot by ranking 10th in the conference in both FT percentage and in turnovers. David Dejulius leads the Bearcats with 14.3 PPG and dropped a game-high of 22 points in Cincy's January win over SMU.

How to make SMU vs. Cincinnati picks

The model has simulated SMU vs. Cincinnati 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Cincinnati vs. SMU? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the SMU vs. Cincinnati spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.